trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | No | 50¢ | 50¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | Yes | 41¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Golden Knights vs. Utah | Utah | 46¢ | 0¢ | $13 | $0 | −$13 (-100%) |
| Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 43.5 | Over | 40¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-100%) |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | Pistons | 40¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24? | No | 46¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$13 | +129% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$14 | +140% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$11 | +109% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $10 | +$12 | +114% |
| Avalanche vs. Golden Knights | May 27 | $10 | +$10 | +97% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 25 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Avalanche vs. Golden Knights | May 25 | $10 | +$13 | +124% |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24? | May 24 | $10 | +$12 | +114% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $10 | +$12 | +119% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24? | May 23 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche | May 23 | $10 | +$15 | +146% |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche | May 21 | $10 | +$15 | +146% |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19? | May 19 | $10 | +$14 | +134% |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres | May 19 | $10 | +$10 | +97% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 09 | $10 | +$10 | +97% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 08 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? | May 06 | $10 | +$14 | +134% |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04? | May 04 | $5 | +$6 | +124% |
| Canadiens vs. Lightning | May 04 | $2 | +$3 | +146% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 28 | $13 | +$16 | +124% |
| Golden Knights vs. Utah | Apr 28 | $13 | −$13 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | Apr 27 | $12 | +$18 | +146% |
| Ducks vs. Predators | Apr 26 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Stars vs. Sabres | Apr 26 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 26 | $12 | +$11 | +93% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 26 | $12 | +$12 | +101% |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14? | Apr 15 | $12 | +$8 | +65% |
| Hurricanes vs. Islanders | Apr 15 | $12 | +$17 | +138% |
| Hurricanes vs. Flyers | Apr 14 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Rangers vs. Panthers | Apr 14 | $12 | +$16 | +138% |
| Penguins vs. Capitals | Apr 13 | $12 | +$8 | +72% |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-11? | Apr 12 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Hurricanes vs. Utah | Apr 12 | $11 | +$13 | +117% |
| Suns vs. Lakers | Apr 11 | $11 | +$13 | +119% |
| Oilers vs. Sharks | Apr 11 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Nets | Apr 11 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 11 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Blue Jackets vs. Sabres | Apr 11 | $11 | +$12 | +104% |
| Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings | Apr 08 | $11 | +$11 | +100% |
| Bucks vs. Nets | Apr 08 | $11 | +$13 | +119% |
| Lakers vs. Mavericks | Apr 07 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Lightning vs. Sabres | Apr 07 | $11 | +$12 | +108% |
| Timberwolves vs. 76ers | Apr 05 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Ducks vs. Sharks | Apr 05 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Sabres vs. Senators | Apr 05 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Sharks | Apr 05 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Avalanche vs. Stars | Apr 05 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. 76ers | Apr 05 | $11 | +$10 | +90% |
| Pistons vs. Timberwolves | Mar 30 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Wild vs. Panthers | Mar 30 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +122.9% | +101.7% | 100% | 100% | +101.7% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +90.5% | +72.4% | 86% | 86% | +72.8% |
| ≤90d | 68 | +26.6% | +14.5% | 59% | 59% | -0.3% |
| all | 355 | +12.0% | +1.3% | 52% | 47% | -2.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +1.3% | 47% | -2.8% |
| 10% | -8.4% | 43% | -12.1% |
| 15% | -17.2% | 39% | -20.6% |
| 20% | -25.3% | 35% | -28.3% |