Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:16:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf0aa…f7e3
crypto · 1741 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$388 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$386 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$44
Realized+$386
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses1182 / 542
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1724 / 1741
History coverage8d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day268.7
Drawdown62%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 2 History 1724 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$196
7 days+$254
14 days+$386
30 days+$386
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 73¢ 100¢ $6 $8 +$2 (+36%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 77¢ 100¢ $6 $8 +$2 (+29%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 41¢ 100¢ $3 $7 +$4 (+144%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 78¢ 100¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 81¢ 100¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+23%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 84¢ 100¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+19%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 91¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+10%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 95¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+5%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+79%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down 70¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+43%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1AM ET Up 63¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+58%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+104%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+67%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 67¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+49%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+96%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 68¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+47%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 79¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+27%)
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 13¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+669%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+78%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 23? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 23? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 15? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +99%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$3 +1099%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -696%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +1156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +1776%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +213%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -1420%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +8554%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +2991%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 23? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 23? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 15? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on May 9? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 16? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 21? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 26? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 18? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 24? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -146%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on Ma Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 20? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 22? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 25? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on May 14? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 9? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on May 16? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on May 21? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on May 26? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 9? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C or below on May 9? Jun 12 $0 −$1 -11260%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on May 17? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 23? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on May 26? Jun 12 $0 −$1 -171%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 26? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 61°F or below on May 22 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on May 23? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 21? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% +$929
other 5% +$39
weather 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $3 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $3 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $3 12m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $3 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 13m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $3 18m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $3 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $3 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1436 -4.0% -13.1% 65% 63% -4.5%
≤30d 1724 -1.2% -10.6% 69% 65% -3.5%
≤90d 1724 -1.2% -10.6% 69% 65% -3.5%
all 1724 -1.2% -10.6% 69% 65% -3.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover268.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 65% -3.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 40% -12.7%
15% -27.0% 17% -21.1%
20% -34.2% 8% -28.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $43.90 · official $37.55 · 3500 history records