Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:24:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf0ac…80c0
weather · 1389 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$648 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,087 · open −$431
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$606
Realized+$1,087
Unrealized−$431
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses971 / 359
Est. fees paid−$39
Open positions59
Markets (closed)1330 / 1389
History coverage56d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day44.2
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 59 History 1330 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$88
7 days+$53
14 days+$253
30 days+$478
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Lyndon Dykes: 1+ goals No 70¢ 76¢ $35 $38 +$3 (+8%)
Findlay Curtis: 1+ goals No 81¢ 50¢ $53 $32 −$20 (-38%)
Ross Stewart: 1+ goals No 72¢ 50¢ $36 $25 −$11 (-31%)
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde: 4+ shots No 94¢ 50¢ $38 $20 −$18 (-47%)
Leverton Pierre: 3+ shots No 94¢ 50¢ $38 $20 −$18 (-47%)
Kerem Aktürkoğlu: 5+ shots No 95¢ 56¢ $33 $19 −$14 (-41%)
Cristian Volpato: 4+ shots No 95¢ 60¢ $30 $19 −$11 (-36%)
Awer Mabil: 3+ shots No 94¢ 54¢ $30 $17 −$13 (-43%)
Duckens Nazon: 1+ goals No 85¢ 81¢ $18 $17 −$1 (-5%)
Danley Jean-Jacques: 2+ assists No 97¢ 50¢ $32 $17 −$16 (-48%)
George Hirst: 5+ shots No 95¢ 50¢ $31 $16 −$14 (-47%)
Ross Stewart: 3+ goals No 94¢ 65¢ $24 $16 −$7 (-31%)
Ayoube Amaimouni: 5+ shots No 94¢ 50¢ $27 $14 −$13 (-47%)
Can Uzun: 5+ shots No 95¢ 52¢ $26 $14 −$12 (-45%)
Duckens Nazon: 5+ shots No 94¢ 50¢ $26 $14 −$12 (-46%)
Duckens Nazon: 4+ shots No 94¢ 50¢ $26 $14 −$12 (-46%)
Luiz Henrique: 5+ shots No 95¢ 50¢ $26 $14 −$12 (-47%)
Nestory Irankunda: 4+ shots No 95¢ 54¢ $25 $14 −$11 (-44%)
Aaron Hickey: 2+ assists No 94¢ 51¢ $25 $14 −$12 (-46%)
Kenny McLean: 2+ assists No 96¢ 50¢ $24 $12 −$12 (-48%)
Lenny Joseph: 4+ shots No 94¢ 50¢ $23 $12 −$11 (-46%)
Derrick Etienne: 3+ shots No 94¢ 50¢ $21 $11 −$10 (-46%)
Josué Casimir: 3+ shots No 94¢ 50¢ $21 $11 −$10 (-47%)
Kenny McLean: 3+ shots No 94¢ 50¢ $20 $11 −$10 (-47%)
Cammy Devlin: 2+ assists No 92¢ 53¢ $19 $11 −$8 (-43%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: Total Corners Odd or Even? Jun 14 $80 +$9 +11%
Jeremy Antonisse: 2+ assists Jun 14 $26 −$24 -93%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ assists Jun 14 $15 +$4 +25%
Éderson: 4+ shots Jun 14 $28 +$1 +5%
Gabriel Martinelli: 4+ shots Jun 14 $11 +$1 +7%
Rayan: 2+ goals Jun 14 $36 +$2 +6%
Igor Thiago: 2+ goals Jun 14 $10 +$1 +6%
Luiz Henrique: 2+ goals Jun 14 $19 +$1 +5%
Morocco to score first vs. Brazil? Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Gessime Yassine: 2+ goals Jun 14 $14 +$1 +6%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals Jun 14 $232 +$13 +6%
Zeki Amdouni: 5+ shots Jun 13 $19 +$1 +4%
Michel Aebischer: 4+ shots Jun 13 $13 +$1 +4%
Michel Aebischer: 3+ shots Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Johan Manzambi: 4+ shots Jun 13 $26 +$2 +7%
Hasan Al Haydos: 4+ shots Jun 13 $20 +$1 +4%
Hasan Al Haydos: 3+ shots Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Ardon Jashari: 4+ shots Jun 13 $20 +$2 +9%
Yusuf Abdurisag: 3+ shots Jun 13 $31 +$2 +6%
Yusuf Abdurisag: 4+ shots Jun 13 $29 +$1 +4%
Tahsin Mohammed: 2+ shots Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Tahsin Mohammed: 3+ shots Jun 13 $20 +$1 +4%
Ahmed Al Ganehi: 4+ shots Jun 13 $14 +$1 +4%
Ahmed Al Ganehi: 3+ shots Jun 13 $24 +$1 +5%
Christian Fassnacht: 5+ shots Jun 13 $20 +$1 +4%
Mohammed Muntari: 4+ shots Jun 13 $14 +$1 +4%
Tahsin Mohammed: 4+ shots Jun 13 $19 +$1 +4%
Pedro Miguel: 2+ assists Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Cédric Itten: 2+ goals Jun 13 $16 +$1 +6%
Zeki Amdouni: 2+ goals Jun 13 $38 +$2 +6%
Noah Okafor: 2+ goals Jun 13 $19 +$1 +6%
Zeki Amdouni: 3+ goals Jun 13 $55 +$2 +4%
Christian Fassnacht: 3+ goals Jun 13 $35 +$2 +6%
Johan Manzambi: 2+ goals Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Cédric Itten: 1+ goals Jun 13 $40 +$10 +26%
Ruben Vargas: 3+ goals Jun 13 $16 +$1 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $33 +$10 +30%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 +$15 +1285%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Alejandro Zendejas: 5+ shots Jun 13 $70 +$7 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
Ramón Sosa: 5+ shots Jun 13 $73 +$7 +10%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 12? Jun 13 $8 $0 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on Jun Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Gabriel Ávalos: 5+ shots Jun 13 $16 +$1 +6%
Haji Wright: 4+ shots Jun 13 $93 +$7 +8%
Haji Wright: 1+ shots Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Gabriel Ávalos: 4+ shots Jun 13 $23 +$2 +9%
Brenden Aaronson: 2+ goals Jun 13 $52 +$3 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 37% +$446
sports 29% +$274
other 25% −$54
tech 3% +$64
politics 2% −$33
culture 2% +$15
world 1% −$30
finance 1% −$29
crypto 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Jeremy Antonisse: 2+ assists SELL Yes $2 1h
Awer Mabil: 3+ shots BUY No 94¢ $30 1h
Awer Mabil: 3+ shots BUY Yes 94¢ $14 1h
Danley Jean-Jacques: 2+ assists BUY No 97¢ $32 1h
Aaron Hickey: 2+ assists BUY No 94¢ $25 1h
Hakan Çalhanoğlu: 1+ goals BUY Yes 23¢ $1 1h
Oğuz Aydın: 4+ shots BUY No 94¢ $18 1h
Nestory Irankunda: 4+ shots BUY No 95¢ $25 1h
Cristian Volpato: 4+ shots BUY No 95¢ $24 1h
Can Uzun: 5+ shots BUY No 95¢ $26 1h
Jordy Bos: 3+ shots BUY No 95¢ $10 1h
Kerem Aktürkoğlu: 5+ shots BUY No 95¢ $33 1h
İrfan Can Kahveci: 4+ shots BUY No 95¢ $19 1h
Cristian Volpato: 4+ shots BUY No 94¢ $5 1h
Can Uzun: 1+ shots BUY No 50¢ $2 1h
Jacob Italiano: 2+ assists BUY No 97¢ $16 1h
Cammy Devlin: 2+ assists BUY No 92¢ $19 1h
Morocco to score first vs. Brazil? SELL Yes 100¢ $20 2h
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals SELL No 100¢ $246 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Total Corners Odd or Even? BUY Even 90¢ $80 2h
Findlay Curtis: 1+ goals BUY No 81¢ $41 2h
Ross Stewart: 1+ goals BUY No 72¢ $36 2h
Duckens Nazon: 1+ goals BUY No 86¢ $9 2h
Kenny McLean: 1+ assists BUY No 88¢ $9 2h
Kenny McLean: 2+ assists BUY No 96¢ $24 2h
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals BUY No 94¢ $83 2h
Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goals BUY No 94¢ $149 2h
Don Deedson Louicius: 3+ shots BUY No 94¢ $7 2h
Lyndon Dykes: 5+ shots BUY No 92¢ $18 2h
George Hirst: 5+ shots BUY No 96¢ $24 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 155 +9.7% -0.8% 78% 15% -8.4%
≤30d 479 -0.6% -10.0% 71% 27% -6.6%
≤90d 1330 +2.6% -7.2% 73% 27% -6.0%
all 1330 +2.6% -7.2% 73% 27% -6.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover44.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.2% 27% -6.0%
10% ← realistic here -16.0% 19% -15.0%
15% -24.2% 15% -23.2%
20% -31.6% 13% -30.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $606.18 · official $606.18 (match) · 3500 history records