Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T22:24:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F0 0xf0b3…bf0d sports 1116 markets active 2h ago coverage 48d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 48d only
✗ bot/MM pace (57 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$225 (-1%) realized −$225 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate69%806W / 366L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$25per market
Trades / day57.4pace
Fees−$126est.
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$244
7 days−$238
14 days−$240
30 days−$1,331
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 97% −$1,648
other 3% −$127
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (57 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 228 -25.5% -32.6% 59% 25% -15.5%
≤30d 706 -12.1% -20.5% 68% 41% -16.0%
≤90d 1172 -10.0% -18.6% 69% 47% -16.3%
all 1172 -10.0% -18.6% 69% 47% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover57.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.6% 47% -16.3%
10% ← realistic here -26.4% 20% -24.3%
15% -33.5% 10% -31.6%
20% -40.0% 5% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
30% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -14% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$13 · ×0.26 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.57 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

48d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$225
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses806 / 366
Est. fees paid−$126
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1172 / 1116
History coverage48d ⚠
Avg bet$25
Trades / day57.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1172 Trades
no open positions (233 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-03-22? Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22? Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-21? Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Lodis (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
VfL Bochum vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 4.5 Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedev Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: 7REX vs RED Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs ALIS VENTORUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Div Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Journey Group D Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: KRÜ Blaze vs Olimpo Gold (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Latin Ame Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: Crest Gaming Zst vs Fennel (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 1 Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Score Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Dota 2: Carstensz vs Ivory (BO5) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Pla Jun 15 $25 −$25 -100%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Torino FC vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw? Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Celtics Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Dota 2: ALIS VENTORUS vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Euro Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) Jun 15 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rooster (BO3) - ESL Challenger League O Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 4.5 Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: T1 Academy vs DRX Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Winter Bear (BO3) - European Pro League Playoff Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: FengDa Gaming vs Alter Ego (BO3) - ESL Challenger Leag Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs Entropy (BO1) - Parken Challenger Champi Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qual Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Valorant: Gods Reign vs Asterisk (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Group Stage Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Tricked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Paris FC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5 Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-03-22? Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Jun 15 $0 −$8 -2120%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 93¢ $35 1h
Halle Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 85¢ $25 6h
Halle Open: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassime SELL Felix Auger-Aliassime 100¢ $39 7h
Brescia: Kathinka von Deichmann vs Anastasiia Sobolieva SELL Anastasiia Sobolieva 100¢ $62 7h
Nottingham Open: Maya Joint vs Yulia Starodubtseva BUY Yulia Starodubtseva 92¢ $9 7h
Brescia: Kathinka von Deichmann vs Anastasiia Sobolieva BUY Anastasiia Sobolieva 96¢ $60 7h
Nottingham Open: Maya Joint vs Yulia Starodubtseva BUY Yulia Starodubtseva 92¢ $5 7h
Nottingham Open: Maya Joint vs Yulia Starodubtseva BUY Yulia Starodubtseva 92¢ $25 7h
Nottingham Open: Maya Joint vs Yulia Starodubtseva BUY Yulia Starodubtseva 89¢ $5 7h
Nottingham Open: Maya Joint vs Yulia Starodubtseva BUY Yulia Starodubtseva 91¢ $5 7h
Nottingham Open: Maya Joint vs Yulia Starodubtseva BUY Yulia Starodubtseva 71¢ $8 7h
HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Zachary Svajda BUY Tommy Paul 97¢ $40 7h
Nottingham Open: Maya Joint vs Yulia Starodubtseva BUY Maya Joint 90¢ $15 8h
Figueira Da Foz: Hayu Kinoshita vs Viktoria Hruncakova BUY Viktoria Hruncakova 94¢ $15 8h
Figueira Da Foz: Hayu Kinoshita vs Viktoria Hruncakova BUY Viktoria Hruncakova 86¢ $15 8h
Figueira Da Foz: Manon Leonard vs Alina Charaeva BUY Alina Charaeva 95¢ $25 8h
Poznan: Duje Ajdukovic vs Dalibor Svrcina BUY Dalibor Svrcina 95¢ $25 8h
Halle Open: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassime BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 90¢ $35 8h
Nottingham Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Maria Sakkari BUY Qinwen Zheng 91¢ $1 9h
Nottingham Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Maria Sakkari BUY Qinwen Zheng 91¢ $5 9h
Nottingham Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Maria Sakkari SELL Maria Sakkari 53¢ $17 9h
Nottingham 2: Luca Nardi vs Remy Bertola BUY Remy Bertola 94¢ $70 9h
HSBC Championships: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Harry Wendelken BUY Botic van de Zandschulp 88¢ $15 10h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yu BUY Katerina Siniakova 96¢ $25 10h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Renata Za BUY Renata Zarazua 82¢ $15 10h
Nottingham 2: Oliver Tarvet vs Roman Safiullin BUY Roman Safiullin 87¢ $15 10h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Magdalena Frech vs Shuai Zha BUY Shuai Zhang 77¢ $15 11h
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentova BUY Marie Bouzkova 94¢ $17 11h
Halle Open (Doubles): Etcheverry/Kecmanovic vs Schnaitter/Wallner BUY Schnaitter/Wallner 73¢ $2 11h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Magdalena Frech vs Shuai Zha BUY Shuai Zhang 76¢ $5 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records