Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:52:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F0 0xf0b6…7271 crypto 1194 markets active 1h ago coverage 16d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (192 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$282 (-3%) realized −$282 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate47%560W / 623L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day191.9pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$65
7 days−$247
14 days−$377
30 days−$482
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$481
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (192 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 450 +1.4% -8.3% 54% 45% -12.3%
≤30d 1183 -2.8% -12.0% 47% 41% -14.4%
≤90d 1183 -2.8% -12.0% 47% 41% -14.4%
all 1183 -2.8% -12.0% 47% 41% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover191.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.0% 41% -14.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.4% 31% -22.6%
15% -28.1% 23% -30.1%
20% -35.2% 17% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
12% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$4 · ×0.91 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.82 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

16d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$282
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses560 / 623
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1183 / 1194
History coverage16d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day191.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1183 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$8 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $55 −$55 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 16 $41 +$13 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $30 −$30 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $41 +$9 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$10 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $30 −$30 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $61 +$19 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $69 −$68 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $69 +$18 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $61 +$15 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $49 −$48 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $41 −$40 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $46 +$9 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 16 $30 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $61 +$26 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $51 −$50 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $41 −$32 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $46 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $62 +$39 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $71 +$13 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$11 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $31 +$10 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $71 +$9 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$9 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 16 $46 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $71 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $41 +$9 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 16 $30 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $31 +$9 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 16 $82 −$80 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 16 $51 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $31 +$9 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $30 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 16 $61 +$8 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $20 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $20 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $54 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $20 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $20 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $20 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $28 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $20 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3327 history records