Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:16:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf0ba…9e20
crypto · 1498 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,033 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,033 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,033
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses813 / 683
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1496 / 1498
History coverage57d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day56.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1496 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$572
7 days−$480
14 days−$477
30 days−$477
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$27 -183%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$432
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $9 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $7 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $11 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $8 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $17 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $9 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $16 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $12 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $12 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $7 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $4 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $7 39m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $18 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $7 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $6 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $11 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $8 49m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)+75.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 299 +206.2% +177.0% 49% 49% -43.1%
≤30d 434 +153.1% +129.0% 48% 48% -31.5%
≤90d 1496 +94.0% +75.5% 54% 53% -20.5%
all 1496 +94.0% +75.5% 54% 53% -20.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +75.5% 53% -20.5%
10% ← realistic here +58.7% 49% -28.1%
15% +43.4% 42% -35.0%
20% +29.3% 30% -41.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records