Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T18:04:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F0 0xf0ce…bf26 crypto 215 markets active 4d ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnoverP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (1832 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$3,987 (+55%) realized +$3,987 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate46%97W / 113L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$34per market
Trades / day1832.2pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$901
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1832 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 210 -1.9% -11.2% 46% 43% -20.8%
≤30d 210 -1.9% -11.2% 46% 43% -20.8%
≤90d 210 -1.9% -11.2% 46% 43% -20.8%
all 210 -1.9% -11.2% 46% 43% -20.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1832.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 43% -20.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 41% -28.4%
15% -27.5% 40% -35.3%
20% -34.6% 39% -41.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +6% → late -9% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
12.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$28 vs −$32 · ×0.88 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.75 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,987
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses97 / 113
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)210 / 215
History coverage2d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day1832.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 210 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $86 −$86 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $43 +$23 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $96 +$59 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $41 −$41 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $40 +$80 +202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $65 −$65 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $33 −$32 -99%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $87 −$87 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $80 +$71 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $87 −$87 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $78 +$54 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $62 +$58 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$7 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $49 +$40 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$17 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$12 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $60 −$48 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$28 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $32 +$48 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $27 +$22 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $27 +$22 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $23 +$27 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $27 +$22 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$25 +82%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3000 history records