Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:24:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf0d8…f5e2
crypto · 204 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
−$1,824 -43%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,866 · open +$41
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$151
Realized−$1,866
Unrealized+$41
Win rate (resolved)7%
Wins / losses15 / 186
Open positions3
Markets (closed)201 / 204
Avg bet$21
Trades / day2.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 3 History 201 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days−$61
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? Yes 7¢ 13¢ $35 $66 +$31 (+86%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $35 $46 +$11 (+31%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $39 $39 −$0 (-0%)
Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 PGA Championship? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 PGA Championship? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 30-April 5? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 30-April 5? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 30-April 5? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4? Down 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship? May 17 $13 −$9 -67%
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship? May 16 $23 −$22 -97%
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 PGA Championship? May 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship? May 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 PGA Championship? May 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? May 13 $41 −$15 -38%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May? May 08 $11 −$10 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? May 08 $11 −$10 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May? May 08 $11 −$10 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? May 08 $11 −$10 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May? May 08 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4? May 04 $4 −$4 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Apr 02 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March? Apr 02 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? Apr 02 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Apr 02 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Apr 02 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Apr 02 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? Apr 02 $151 −$35 -23%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? Apr 02 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? Apr 02 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 30-April 5? Apr 02 $10 −$9 -93%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 30-April 5? Apr 02 $7 −$6 -93%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 30-April 5? Apr 02 $10 −$9 -93%
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? Mar 26 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Mar 26 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? Mar 25 $15 +$28 +183%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? Mar 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25? Mar 25 $5 −$4 -82%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 23-29? Mar 25 $14 −$8 -62%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 23-29? Mar 25 $11 −$3 -32%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 23-29? Mar 25 $4 $0 +6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 23-29? Mar 25 $9 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Mar 24 $4 −$4 -99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 24? Mar 23 $21 −$14 -67%
Netanyahu out by March 31? Mar 23 $673 −$179 -27%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on March 23? Mar 23 $41 −$40 -97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 23? Mar 23 $59 −$56 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 23? Mar 23 $30 −$21 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Mar 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 19? Mar 22 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 19? Mar 22 $25 −$17 -68%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 20? Mar 22 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 21? Mar 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 18? Mar 22 $15 −$9 -56%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 22? Mar 22 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 19? Mar 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 22? Mar 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 21? Mar 22 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 21? Mar 22 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 54% −$1,271
other 28% −$520
world 11% −$163
finance 8% +$129
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? BUY Yes 7¢ $37 3h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? BUY Yes 1¢ $36 3h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? BUY Yes 2¢ $36 3h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? BUY Yes 1¢ $4 3h
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship? SELL Yes 1¢ $4 25d
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship? BUY Yes 3¢ $13 25d
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship? BUY Yes 8¢ $12 26d
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 PGA Championship? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 26d
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship? BUY Yes 3¢ $10 26d
Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 PGA Championship? BUY Yes 3¢ $10 26d
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship? BUY Yes 6¢ $10 26d
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? SELL Yes 4¢ $25 30d
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $23 33d
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $18 33d
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May? BUY Yes 1¢ $11 34d
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? BUY Yes 1¢ $11 34d
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May? BUY Yes 0¢ $11 34d
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? BUY Yes 0¢ $11 34d
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May? BUY Yes 0¢ $11 34d
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4? BUY Down 1¢ $4 38d
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 30-April 5? BUY Yes 3¢ $10 70d
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 30-April 5? BUY Yes 1¢ $7 70d
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 30-April 5? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 70d
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? BUY Yes 6¢ $15 77d
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? BUY Yes 2¢ $8 77d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $4 78d
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? SELL Yes 16¢ $4 78d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $7 78d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 78d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 78d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-64.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 5 -93.4% -94.0% 0% 0% -94.0%
≤90d 156 -72.9% -75.5% 5% 4% -55.6%
all 201 -60.5% -64.3% 7% 5% -50.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -64.3% 5% -50.7%
10% -67.7% 4% -55.4%
15% -70.8% 4% -59.7%
20% -73.7% 4% -63.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $150.73 · official $150.73 (match) · 516 history records