Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:42:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf0dd…ba35
crypto · 1697 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,088 -46%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,088 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$6,088
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses788 / 722
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1510 / 1697
History coverage8d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day307.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1510 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9,037
7 days−$6,856
14 days−$6,088
30 days−$6,088
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $250 −$250 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3,449
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-2.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1291 +1.4% -8.3% 49% 48% -47.0%
≤30d 1510 +7.7% -2.5% 52% 51% -38.8%
≤90d 1510 +7.7% -2.5% 52% 51% -38.8%
all 1510 +7.7% -2.5% 52% 51% -38.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover307.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.5% 51% -38.8%
10% ← realistic here -11.9% 47% -44.7%
15% -20.4% 46% -50.0%
20% -28.2% 46% -54.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.68 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records