Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:43:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F0
0xf0dd…cc6a
crypto · 1813 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$797 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,795 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$39
Realized−$1,795
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses838 / 1227
Open positions2
Markets (closed)2065 / 1813
History coverage40d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day66.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 2065 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,620
7 days−$1,475
14 days−$1,398
30 days−$1,458
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 42¢ 100¢ $4 $9 +$5 (+138%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 44¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+127%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 33¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+203%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 46¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+117%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 41¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+144%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 45¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+122%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+84%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$6 -165%
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$135
other 3% −$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-24.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 400 -75.8% -78.1% 11% 10% -69.2%
≤30d 1360 -21.3% -28.8% 39% 38% -30.4%
≤90d 2065 -16.3% -24.3% 41% 40% -24.3%
all 2065 -16.3% -24.3% 41% 40% -24.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover66.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.3% 40% -24.3%
10% ← realistic here -31.5% 35% -31.6%
15% -38.1% 32% -38.2%
20% -44.2% 31% -44.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $39.21 · official $39.26 (match) · 3500 history records