trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +22.6% | +10.9% | 67% | 67% | -4.0% |
| ≤30d | 46 | -25.2% | -32.3% | 39% | 39% | -33.3% |
| ≤90d | 89 | -18.1% | -25.9% | 45% | 40% | -24.7% |
| all | 89 | -18.1% | -25.9% | 45% | 40% | -24.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -25.9% | 40% | -24.7% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -33.0% | 38% | -31.9% |
| 15% | -39.5% | 34% | -38.4% |
| 20% | -45.4% | 27% | -44.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Japan (-1.5) | Japan | 41¢ | 57¢ | $1,188 | $1,656 | +$468 (+39%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 69¢ | 84¢ | $978 | $1,192 | +$214 (+22%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $2,630 | +$1,925 | +73% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $3,927 | −$2,754 | -70% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $1,658 | +$1,118 | +67% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $1,607 | +$997 | +62% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $1,591 | +$1,673 | +105% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $936 | +$658 | +70% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $633 | +$302 | +48% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $2,589 | −$1,404 | -54% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $4,409 | −$2,322 | -53% |
| Spread: Spurs (-2.5) | Jun 14 | $2,366 | −$1,905 | -80% |
| Spread: Spurs (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $870 | −$705 | -81% |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) | Jun 14 | $737 | −$728 | -99% |
| Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire | Jun 14 | $1,012 | −$274 | -27% |
| Spread: Spurs (-14.5) | Jun 11 | $700 | −$692 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $4,066 | −$2,497 | -61% |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries | Jun 10 | $686 | −$372 | -54% |
| Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5) | Jun 10 | $304 | −$300 | -99% |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) | Jun 06 | $1,283 | −$1,265 | -99% |
| Spread: Knicks (-9.5) | Jun 06 | $9 | −$9 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $707 | −$700 | -99% |
| Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lions | Jun 05 | $1,110 | +$448 | +40% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $1,014 | −$988 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | Jun 04 | $507 | −$432 | -85% |
| Spread: Spurs (-3.5) | Jun 04 | $4,446 | −$4,109 | -92% |
| Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks | Jun 02 | $508 | −$500 | -98% |
| Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks | May 31 | $3,536 | −$28 | -1% |
| LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | May 31 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $4,559 | −$4,328 | -95% |
| Spread: Spurs (-6.5) | May 31 | $4,148 | −$1,288 | -31% |
| Spread: Spurs (-2.5) | May 29 | $2,332 | +$1,911 | +82% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $2,630 | +$1,584 | +60% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $2,598 | +$1,604 | +62% |
| Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lions | May 26 | $2,217 | +$771 | +35% |
| Spread: Knicks (-3.5) | May 26 | $1,722 | −$1,419 | -82% |
| Spread: Knicks (-2.5) | May 26 | $406 | −$317 | -78% |
| Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm | May 25 | $402 | +$62 | +16% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | May 25 | $3,442 | −$2,500 | -73% |
| Spread: Knicks (-9.5) | May 24 | $506 | +$329 | +65% |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | May 24 | $304 | +$236 | +78% |
| Spread: Knicks (-3.5) | May 24 | $703 | +$123 | +18% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $3,850 | −$2,392 | -62% |
| Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lions | May 23 | $2,119 | +$935 | +44% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $4,052 | −$2,936 | -72% |
| Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lions | May 23 | $1,618 | −$1,618 | -100% |
| Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharks | May 22 | $1,011 | +$605 | +60% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 22 | $1,820 | +$1,049 | +58% |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) | May 21 | $202 | +$110 | +54% |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) | May 21 | $3,546 | +$2,697 | +76% |
| Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharks | May 20 | $7,061 | +$5,483 | +78% |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5) | May 20 | $2,130 | −$500 | -24% |