Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:21:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F0 0xf0de…9f6a crypto 144 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (3353 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$2,739 (+7%) realized +$2,739 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate65%94W / 50L
Drawdown44%max
Avg bet$258per market
Trades / day3353.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$84
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3353 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 144 -5.0% -14.1% 65% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 144 -5.0% -14.1% 65% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 144 -5.0% -14.1% 65% 0% -9.3%
all 144 -5.0% -14.1% 65% 0% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3353.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.1% 0% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -22.3% 0% -18.0%
15% -29.8% 0% -25.9%
20% -36.7% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
23.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$4 · ×0.75 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.41 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,739
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses94 / 50
Open positions0
Markets (closed)144 / 144
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$258
Trades / day3353.0
Drawdown44%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 144 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $134 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $381 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $176 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $179 −$4 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $175 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $381 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $80 −$5 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $223 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $334 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $322 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $322 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $173 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $382 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $177 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $80 −$5 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 17 $310 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $174 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 17 $173 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $381 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $752 +$18 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $322 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $173 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $295 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $80 −$5 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 17 $68 −$8 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 17 $322 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $233 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 17 $381 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $68 −$8 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $381 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $260 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $154 −$5 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $322 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $281 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $381 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $310 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $322 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $381 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $155 −$5 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $322 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $16 −$12 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $140 −$5 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $322 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $381 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $148 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $236 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $236 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $19 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $27 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $52 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $36 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $37 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $32 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $58 6m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records