Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T16:05:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
F0 0xf0e2…6955 crypto 1657 markets active 2d ago coverage 11d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 11d only
✗ bot/MM pace (175 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,199 (-14%) realized −$1,199 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -34% what you keep after slip
Net edge-34%after slip
Net WR23%break-even
Win rate74%1417W / 500L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day175.0pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$384
7 days−$405
14 days−$529
30 days−$529
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$116
other 2% −$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (175 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-22.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1117 -23.3% -30.6% 70% 10% -17.0%
≤30d 1917 -14.1% -22.2% 74% 23% -14.7%
≤90d 1917 -14.1% -22.2% 74% 23% -14.7%
all 1917 -14.1% -22.2% 74% 23% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover175.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.2% 23% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -29.7% 3% -22.9%
15% -36.5% 1% -30.3%
20% -42.7% 0% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
62% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -14% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -27% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.21 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.59 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,199
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses1417 / 500
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1917 / 1657
History coverage11d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day175.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1917 Trades
no open positions (388 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records