trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -6.7% | -15.6% | 33% | 33% | -14.0% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -6.7% | -15.6% | 33% | 33% | -14.0% |
| ≤90d | 27 | -62.2% | -65.8% | 15% | 15% | -69.9% |
| all | 268 | -29.4% | -36.1% | 32% | 30% | -28.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -36.1% | 30% | -28.2% |
| 10% | -42.2% | 29% | -35.1% |
| 15% | -47.8% | 27% | -41.4% |
| 20% | -52.9% | 25% | -47.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 57¢ | 99¢ | $152 | $263 | +$112 (+74%) |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $50 | $35 | −$15 (-30%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 25 | $51 | −$27 | -53% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 25 | $54 | −$3 | -6% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 25 | $58 | +$22 | +39% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5) | May 19 | $47 | −$46 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 19 | $40 | +$8 | +20% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 18 | $9 | −$9 | -97% |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | May 06 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 06 | $1,215 | −$1,069 | -88% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 05 | $805 | −$478 | -59% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | May 01 | $13 | −$13 | -98% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | May 01 | $39 | +$78 | +197% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-11.5) | Apr 27 | $116 | −$114 | -98% |
| Spread: Pistons (-8.5) | Apr 21 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Apr 19 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 19 | $96 | −$96 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Apr 18 | $143 | −$143 | -100% |
| Spread: Hornets (-3.5) | Apr 18 | $110 | −$110 | -100% |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 18 | $357 | −$188 | -53% |
| Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 17 | $59 | −$52 | -88% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Apr 17 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 17 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 17 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Spurs | Apr 17 | $56 | −$56 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Apr 16 | $141 | +$233 | +165% |
| Bucks vs. Wizards | Mar 08 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Lakers | Mar 08 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Hornets | Mar 08 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) | Mar 08 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Spread: Heat (-3.5) | Mar 08 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Player 152 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Mar 08 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Player 172 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Mar 08 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Player 31 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Mar 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Player 38 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Mar 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Player 173 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Mar 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Player 118 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Mar 08 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Player 157 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Mar 08 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Player 58 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Mar 08 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Player 99 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Mar 08 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Jets vs. Sharks | Mar 02 | $97 | +$114 | +117% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Mar 02 | $56 | +$80 | +144% |
| Spread: Rockets (-10.5) | Feb 24 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Hornets | Feb 24 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Suns | Feb 24 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Hawks | Feb 24 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | Feb 24 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Lakers | Feb 24 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Spread: Rockets (-15.5) | Feb 24 | $43 | −$43 | -100% |