trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +8.2% | -2.1% | 100% | 0% | -2.1% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +8.2% | -2.1% | 100% | 0% | -2.1% |
| ≤90d | 1 | +8.2% | -2.1% | 100% | 0% | -2.1% |
| all | 9 | -33.0% | -39.4% | 22% | 0% | -14.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -39.4% | 0% | -14.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -45.2% | 0% | -22.3% |
| 15% | -50.5% | 0% | -29.8% |
| 20% | -55.3% | 0% | -36.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | Jun 23 | $55 | +$5 | +8% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | Mar 13 | $16,766 | −$1,154 | -7% |
| Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship? | Dec 31 | $2,821 | −$38 | -1% |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open? | Dec 31 | $2,874 | +$102 | +4% |
| Will October 2025 be the 1st hottest on record? | Oct 13 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Notre Dame vs. Penn State | Apr 22 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the Utah Jazz win the Western Conference? | Jan 09 | $3 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-07? | Dec 23 | $55 | −$55 | -100% |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season? | Dec 06 | $58 | $0 | -0% |