trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 17% | 0% | -8.4% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 23% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 23% | 0% | -9.1% |
| all | 26 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 42% | 4% | -9.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.7% | 4% | -9.1% |
| 10% | -17.4% | 4% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -25.4% | 4% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -32.7% | 4% | -33.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | No | 83¢ | 84¢ | $41 | $41 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 20 | $89 | +$3 | +4% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 19 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 18 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Jun 18 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | May 27 | $44 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 26 | $42 | −$1 | -2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 25 | $21 | −$3 | -12% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | May 24 | $44 | $0 | -0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 24 | $38 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 22 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 21 | $13 | +$1 | +9% |
| Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 National League Championship | Dec 09 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $112K on June 17? | Jun 18 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31? | Jun 01 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 31 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2200 in April? | May 05 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 21 | $2 | $0 | +8% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference? | Mar 20 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Trump say 'DOGE' or 'Department of Government Efficiency' during | Mar 06 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Sharks vs. Sabres | Mar 04 | $11 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Bernie Sanders applaud during Trump's address to Congress? | Mar 04 | $21 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Trump say 'Greenland' during the 2025 State of the Union? | Mar 04 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will PSV Eindhoven vs. Arsenal end in a draw? | Mar 04 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Louisiana vs. Troy | Mar 04 | $11 | +$11 | +100% |