trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 25 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 27 | $90 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 22 | $90 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $90 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 10 | $90 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 28 | $90 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 17 | $90 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 12 | $90 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 18 | $92 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 16 | $92 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 31 | $157 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 20 | $187 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March? | Mar 17 | $187 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 14 | $187 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 11 | $187 | $0 | +0% |
| Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 10 | $187 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 07 | $187 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 03 | $187 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | Mar 01 | $189 | −$2 | -1% |
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 24 | $189 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Feb 02 | $189 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | Feb 01 | $189 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ajax win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 04 | $180 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Jan 03 | $185 | $0 | -0% |
| Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026? | Jan 02 | $180 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Dec 30 | $184 | $0 | -0% |