trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $146,250 | $146,925 | +$675 (+0%) |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 53¢ | 52¢ | $26,950 | $26,006 | −$944 (-4%) |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 54¢ | 42¢ | $17,556 | $13,699 | −$3,856 (-22%) |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds | Arizona Diamondbacks | 57¢ | 0¢ | $20,639 | $0 | −$20,639 (-100%) |
| New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Toronto Blue Jays | 47¢ | 0¢ | $15,137 | $0 | −$15,137 (-100%) |
| Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox | Texas Rangers | 47¢ | 0¢ | $7,050 | $0 | −$7,050 (-100%) |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | $17,014 | $0 | −$17,014 (-100%) |
| Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets | New York Mets | 51¢ | 0¢ | $8,940 | $0 | −$8,940 (-100%) |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians | Detroit Tigers | 58¢ | 0¢ | $17,400 | $0 | −$17,400 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $69,929 | +$40,899 | +58% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants | Jun 14 | $42,138 | +$35,861 | +85% |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics | Jun 14 | $26,100 | +$18,900 | +72% |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels | Jun 14 | $22,054 | +$22,946 | +104% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $23,820 | −$16,980 | -71% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Jun 14 | $11,893 | +$18,602 | +156% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $299,998 | +$18,722 | +6% |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins | Jun 13 | $19,774 | +$19,764 | +100% |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles | Jun 13 | $6,443 | −$6,443 | -100% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets | Jun 13 | $6,900 | −$6,900 | -100% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox | Jun 13 | $8,850 | −$8,850 | -100% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Jun 13 | $7,440 | −$7,440 | -100% |
| New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Jun 13 | $16,170 | −$16,170 | -100% |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians | Jun 13 | $16,560 | −$16,560 | -100% |
| Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Jun 13 | $29,070 | −$29,070 | -100% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets | Jun 13 | $8,940 | −$8,940 | -100% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds | Jun 13 | $20,670 | −$20,639 | -100% |
| Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox | Jun 13 | $7,050 | −$7,050 | -100% |
| New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Jun 13 | $15,230 | −$15,137 | -99% |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians | Jun 13 | $17,400 | −$17,400 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $50,408 | +$24,592 | +49% |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics | Jun 13 | $14,162 | +$7,296 | +52% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants | Jun 13 | $19,354 | +$22,646 | +117% |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins | Jun 13 | $20,222 | +$15,778 | +78% |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals | Jun 13 | $25,700 | +$19,300 | +75% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $34,499 | +$36,761 | +107% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | Jun 12 | $13,346 | +$6,144 | +46% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Jun 12 | $9,206 | +$5,886 | +64% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $44,073 | +$292,916 | +665% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies | Jun 11 | $11,076 | +$8,356 | +75% |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers | Jun 11 | $2,853 | −$2,853 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 31 | +16.4% | +5.4% | 55% | 52% | +33.5% |
| ≤30d | 31 | +16.4% | +5.4% | 55% | 52% | +33.5% |
| ≤90d | 31 | +16.4% | +5.4% | 55% | 52% | +33.5% |
| all | 31 | +16.4% | +5.4% | 55% | 52% | +33.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +5.4% | 52% | +33.5% |
| 10% | -4.7% | 52% | +20.7% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -13.9% | 52% | +9.1% |
| 20% | -22.4% | 45% | -1.6% |