trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 3 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 10 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 50% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.6% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -17.4% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -25.3% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -32.7% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 15? | Jun 15 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | Jun 12 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C or higher on April 22? | May 21 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 19 | $944 | $0 | +0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | Mar 19 | $2 | $0 | +10% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 19 | $968 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | Mar 19 | $961 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lyon win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | Mar 19 | $891 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Project Hail Mary have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Mar 19 | $968 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Progressive Party (PP) win the 2026 South Korean local electi | Mar 19 | $967 | $0 | +0% |