trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -10.0% | -18.6% | 50% | 17% | -16.4% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +24.3% | +12.5% | 50% | 33% | -5.1% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +24.3% | +12.5% | 50% | 33% | -5.1% |
| all | 12 | +24.3% | +12.5% | 50% | 33% | -5.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +12.5% | 33% | -5.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +1.7% | 25% | -14.2% |
| 15% | -8.1% | 25% | -22.4% |
| 20% | -17.1% | 25% | -30.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $1,884 | $1,810 | −$74 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Jun 21 | $951 | +$15 | +2% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 16 | $2,539 | −$2,088 | -82% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $4,040 | +$123 | +3% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | Jun 14 | $2,420 | +$1,237 | +51% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $671 | −$52 | -8% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 | Jun 14 | $1,400 | −$114 | -8% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 13 | $1,222 | −$15 | -1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Jun 13 | $1,012 | +$206 | +20% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Jun 11 | $600 | −$143 | -24% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | Jun 10 | $1,257 | −$33 | -3% |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | Jun 04 | $600 | +$1,090 | +182% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $332 | +$590 | +178% |