trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on | Jun 12 | $31 | −$22 | -70% |
| Will UD Las Palmas achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2 | Jun 10 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | Jun 03 | $7 | −$6 | -99% |
| Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 31 | $981 | +$682 | +70% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 31 | $43 | +$898 | +2084% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 100% | 0% | -8.6% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +380.1% | +334.3% | 60% | 40% | +117.8% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +380.1% | +334.3% | 60% | 40% | +117.8% |
| all | 5 | +380.1% | +334.3% | 60% | 40% | +117.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +334.3% | 40% | +117.8% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +292.8% | 40% | +97.0% |
| 15% | +254.8% | 40% | +78.0% |
| 20% | +220.0% | 40% | +60.5% |