Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:18:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F1
0xf167…3cf2
crypto · 871 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,477 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,477 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized−$2,477
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses388 / 902
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1290 / 871
History coverage6d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day427.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1290 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,403
7 days−$2,477
14 days−$2,477
30 days−$2,477
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$107
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $19 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $19 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-33.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1290 -26.4% -33.4% 30% 1% -21.6%
≤30d 1290 -26.4% -33.4% 30% 1% -21.6%
≤90d 1290 -26.4% -33.4% 30% 1% -21.6%
all 1290 -26.4% -33.4% 30% 1% -21.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover427.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.4% 1% -21.6%
10% ← realistic here -39.7% 1% -29.1%
15% -45.6% 1% -36.0%
20% -50.9% 1% -42.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.00 · official $20.00 (match) · 3500 history records