Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:06:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F1 0xf172…7758 crypto 97 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (1620 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$203 (-6%) realized −$203 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR28%break-even
Win rate41%40W / 57L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$34per market
Trades / day1619.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$311
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1620 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-18.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 96 -10.1% -18.7% 41% 27% -17.5%
≤30d 97 -9.4% -18.0% 41% 28% -17.4%
≤90d 97 -9.4% -18.0% 41% 28% -17.4%
all 97 -9.4% -18.0% 41% 28% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1619.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.0% 28% -17.4%
10% ← realistic here -25.9% 11% -25.3%
15% -33.0% 9% -32.6%
20% -39.6% 8% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
30% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -13% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
11.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$8 · ×0.49 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.35 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$203
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses40 / 57
Open positions0
Markets (closed)97 / 97
History coverage1d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day1619.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 97 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $51 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $31 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $95 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $185 −$54 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $34 +$7 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $134 −$18 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $62 −$5 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $40 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 11 $54 −$16 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $192 −$31 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $108 −$47 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 11 $36 −$21 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 11 $48 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $51 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$7 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 11 $17 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $39 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $56 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $174 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 10 $118 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 10 $116 −$8 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $65 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 10 $187 −$31 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 10 $130 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $69 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $66 +$15 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 10 $109 −$36 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $39 −$3 -7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$3 -50%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $17 −$2 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $18 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 10 $58 +$8 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5PM ET Jun 10 $73 +$9 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 10 $20 +$3 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$1 -21%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$6 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $86 −$5 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $47 +$9 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $90 −$28 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $31 −$8 -27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $21 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $16 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $12 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1735 history records