Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:32:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F1
0xf17f…695e
crypto · 171 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$2 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses166 / 5
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)171 / 171
History coverage3d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day60.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 171 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +7%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $29 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 11? Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 11? Jun 11 $15 +$1 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $19 +$1 +4%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 11? Jun 11 $15 +$1 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$2
finance 2% +$1
sports 2% +$2
other 1% +$1
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $14 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $14 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $15 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $14 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $15 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $14 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $15 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 171 +0.2% -9.3% 97% 1% -9.5%
≤30d 171 +0.2% -9.3% 97% 1% -9.5%
≤90d 171 +0.2% -9.3% 97% 1% -9.5%
all 171 +0.2% -9.3% 97% 1% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover60.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 1% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 0% -18.1%
15% -25.9% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 347 history records