Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:27:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F1
0xf185…bf3c
crypto · 103 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$28 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$36 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$36
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses69 / 34
Open positions0
Markets (closed)103 / 103
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day166.3
Drawdown38%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 103 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$36
7 days+$36
14 days+$36
30 days+$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$6 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$5 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$3 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$7 +214%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$38
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $9 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $7 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $8 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $7 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $7 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $9 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $7 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $8 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $7 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $9 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $7 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $9 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $7 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $7 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $6 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $7 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $7 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $6 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-4.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 103 +5.3% -4.8% 67% 58% -3.8%
≤30d 103 +5.3% -4.8% 67% 58% -3.8%
≤90d 103 +5.3% -4.8% 67% 58% -3.8%
all 103 +5.3% -4.8% 67% 58% -3.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover166.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.8% 58% -3.8%
10% ← realistic here -13.9% 47% -13.0%
15% -22.2% 22% -21.4%
20% -29.8% 8% -29.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 237 history records