Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:52:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F1
0xf1a2…f1b6
other · 215 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$3,894 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,601 · open +$1,103
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$30,162
Realized+$2,601
Unrealized+$1,103
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses80 / 54
Whale WR (big bets)63%
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions141
Markets (closed)134 / 215
History coverage9d
Avg bet$349
Trades / day388.3
Drawdown9%
Kalshi-fit51%
Chart Positions 141 History 134 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,253
7 days+$2,501
14 days+$2,601
30 days+$2,601
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 87¢ 93¢ $17,579 $18,883 +$1,303 (+7%)
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No 99¢ 99¢ $197 $197 +$0 (+0%)
Ebola pandemic in 2026? No 93¢ 92¢ $186 $185 −$1 (-1%)
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 94¢ 86¢ $189 $173 −$16 (-9%)
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No 88¢ 86¢ $176 $172 −$4 (-2%)
Ebola case in the US by June 30? No 88¢ 86¢ $176 $171 −$5 (-3%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 93¢ 82¢ $185 $164 −$21 (-11%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No 90¢ 90¢ $152 $152 +$0 (+0%)
Will Kamaru Usman be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No 99¢ 100¢ $99 $100 +$1 (+1%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June? No 99¢ 100¢ $99 $100 +$0 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June? No 98¢ 99¢ $99 $99 +$0 (+0%)
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 99¢ 99¢ $99 $99 +$0 (+0%)
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 99¢ 99¢ $99 $99 +$0 (+0%)
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 99¢ 99¢ $99 $99 −$0 (-0%)
Netanyahu out by June 30? No 98¢ 99¢ $98 $99 +$1 (+1%)
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $99 $99 −$0 (-0%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $99 $99 −$0 (-0%)
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $99 $99 −$0 (-0%)
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 99¢ 99¢ $99 $99 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $99 $99 −$0 (-0%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $99 $99 −$0 (-0%)
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 99¢ 99¢ $98 $98 +$0 (+0%)
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? No 99¢ 98¢ $99 $98 −$1 (-1%)
Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 98¢ $99 $98 −$0 (-0%)
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $98 $98 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will XRP reach $1.60 in May? Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? Jun 13 $1 +$4 +724%
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? Jun 13 $0 +$1 +220%
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30? Jun 13 $0 +$9 +7426%
Will Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1795%
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files? Jun 13 $92 −$77 -84%
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files? Jun 13 $89 −$81 -91%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files Jun 13 $99 −$99 -100%
Will Solana reach $90 in June? Jun 13 $465 +$4 +1%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? Jun 13 $96 $0 -0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June? Jun 13 $37 +$1 +4%
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June? Jun 13 $400 +$2 +0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 13 $530 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? Jun 13 $72 $0 -0%
Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 13 $692 +$1 +0%
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $139 $0 -0%
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 13 $395 +$100 +26%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 13 $99 $0 +0%
Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $593 $0 +0%
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $690 +$1 +0%
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $826 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? Jun 12 $265 +$92 +35%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22? Jun 12 $97 $0 -0%
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $215 +$1 +0%
Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $98 $0 +0%
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Jun 12 $293 +$1 +0%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $99 +$99 +100%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? Jun 12 $390 +$97 +25%
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $843 +$100 +12%
Will Luis Javier Suárez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World C Jun 12 $198 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? Jun 12 $192 −$1 -0%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Jun 12 $84 +$1 +1%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $98 $0 +0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $376 $0 -0%
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $292 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? Jun 12 $811 +$3 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? Jun 12 $2,111 −$1 -0%
Will Desire Doue be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $694 −$1 -0%
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $215 +$99 +46%
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $295 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $297 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $294 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June? Jun 12 $785 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? Jun 12 $1,302 +$96 +7%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? Jun 12 $47 +$95 +202%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Jun 12 $12 +$190 +1551%
Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $384 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $184 $0 +0%
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $198 $0 +0%
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? Jun 11 $91 +$5 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 62% +$2,461
crypto 17% +$576
world 13% +$552
economics 4% +$290
sports 3% −$25
culture 1% +$95
tech 1% −$2
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Solana reach $90 in June? SELL No 97¢ $97 9m
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? SELL No 96¢ $96 16m
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? BUY No 96¢ $96 18m
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June? SELL No 89¢ $29 31m
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $52 35m
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 97¢ $45 36m
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June? SELL No 89¢ $10 37m
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $45 37m
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 97¢ $53 38m
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $8 39m
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $44 39m
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 97¢ $44 40m
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $44 41m
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 97¢ $44 42m
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $18 43m
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $26 44m
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 97¢ $18 44m
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $18 45m
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 97¢ $18 46m
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $18 47m
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $6 48m
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 97¢ $18 48m
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $18 49m
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 97¢ $18 50m
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $35 50m
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $18 51m
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $35 52m
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 97¢ $18 56m
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $18 57m
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 97¢ $18 58m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)+27.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 126 +42.6% +29.0% 60% 21% -4.1%
≤30d 134 +40.8% +27.4% 60% 21% -4.0%
≤90d 134 +40.8% +27.4% 60% 21% -4.0%
all 134 +40.8% +27.4% 60% 21% -4.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover388.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +27.4% 21% -4.0%
10% ← realistic here +15.2% 16% -13.2%
15% +4.1% 11% -21.6%
20% -6.1% 10% -29.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $30,162.28 · official $30,158.52 (match) · 3500 history records