Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:43:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F1 0xf1a6…3e41 other 854 markets active 4d ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable ⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (225 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$79 (-2%) realized −$79 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate95%815W / 39L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day225.4pace
Kalshi-fit0%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
other 100% −$87
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (225 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 652 -2.2% -11.5% 95% 0% -11.5%
≤30d 854 -2.1% -11.4% 95% 0% -11.4%
≤90d 854 -2.1% -11.4% 95% 0% -11.4%
all 854 -2.1% -11.4% 95% 0% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover225.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 0% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 0% -19.9%
15% -27.6% 0% -27.6%
20% -34.7% 0% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$5 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.54 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$79
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses815 / 39
Open positions0
Markets (closed)854 / 854
History coverage4d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day225.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 854 Trades
no open positions (38 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1670 history records