Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:05:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F1
0xf1ab…72fa
crypto · 282 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$25 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$25 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses136 / 144
Open positions2
Markets (closed)280 / 282
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day286.0
Drawdown91%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 280 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$25
7 days+$25
14 days+$25
30 days+$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 48¢ 50¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+5%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 48¢ 50¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-20.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 280 -12.1% -20.4% 49% 49% -6.1%
≤30d 280 -12.1% -20.4% 49% 49% -6.1%
≤90d 280 -12.1% -20.4% 49% 49% -6.1%
all 280 -12.1% -20.4% 49% 49% -6.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover286.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.4% 49% -6.1%
10% ← realistic here -28.0% 49% -15.1%
15% -35.0% 39% -23.3%
20% -41.4% 33% -30.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.00 · official $4.45 (match) · 422 history records