Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:27:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F1
0xf1ab…361b
crypto · 1170 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,169 -57%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,169 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$3,169
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses842 / 729
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1571 / 1170
History coverage92d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day30.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1571 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,192
7 days−$3,166
14 days−$3,166
30 days−$3,180
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Kings vs. Celtics Kings 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Washington Huskies Nevada Wolf Pack 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Cagliari win on 2025-11-03? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Penguins vs. Red Wings Red Wings 24¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bucks vs. Mavericks Mavericks 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
UC Davis Aggies vs. Idaho State Bengals Idaho State Bengals 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Spurs 11¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Kentucky Wildcats vs. LSU Tigers LSU Tigers 38¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Milwaukee Panthers Milwaukee Panthers 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Rockets vs. Grizzlies Grizzlies 27¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
California-San Diego Tritons vs. CSUN Matadors California-San Diego Tritons 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Little Rock Trojans vs. SIUE Cougars SIUE Cougars 54¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Laval Rocket Laval Rocket 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Seahawks vs. 49ers 49ers 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Falcons vs. Saints Saints 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Nets vs. Knicks Nets 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. VCU Rams Loyola Chicago Ramblers 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Qairat FK win on 2025-11-05? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Lamar Cardinals vs. New Orleans Privateers Lamar Cardinals 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Florida International Golden Panthers vs. UTEP Miners Florida International Golden Panthers 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Kings vs. Celtics Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Washington Huskies Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Cagliari win on 2025-11-03? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Penguins vs. Red Wings Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bucks vs. Mavericks Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
UC Davis Aggies vs. Idaho State Bengals Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spurs vs. Thunder Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Kentucky Wildcats vs. LSU Tigers Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Milwaukee Panthers Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Rockets vs. Grizzlies Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
California-San Diego Tritons vs. CSUN Matadors Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Little Rock Trojans vs. SIUE Cougars Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Laval Rocket Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Seahawks vs. 49ers Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Falcons vs. Saints Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Nets vs. Knicks Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. VCU Rams Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Qairat FK win on 2025-11-05? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Lamar Cardinals vs. New Orleans Privateers Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Florida International Golden Panthers vs. UTEP Miners Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Connecticut Huskies vs. DePaul Blue Demons Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -136%
Fresno State vs. San Jose State Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Grizzlies vs. Spurs Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Blues vs. Sabres Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Wyoming Cowboys Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will FC Famalicão vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Mid-Atlantic Christian Mustangs vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Maple Leafs vs. Stars Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Nuggets vs. Pacers Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Raptors vs. Bucks Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3) Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Michigan State Spartans vs. Oregon Ducks Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Flyers vs. Kraken Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Northwestern Wildcats Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Rice Owls vs. East Carolina Pirates Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Raptors vs. Wizards Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Oklahoma Sooners Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bruins vs. Blues Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Norfolk State Spartans vs. Grambling State Tigers Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Cavaliers vs. 76ers Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) Jun 13 $2 −$3 -114%
Kennesaw State vs. Western Michigan Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
La Sierra Golden Eagles vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves Jun 13 $3 −$2 -64%
Heat vs. Trail Blazers Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$15
sports 1% +$50
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 58m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-32.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 606 -67.5% -70.6% 21% 11% -81.3%
≤30d 667 -60.1% -63.9% 27% 16% -75.0%
≤90d 1486 -26.5% -33.5% 52% 28% -43.9%
all 1571 -25.0% -32.2% 54% 28% -42.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.2% 28% -42.2%
10% ← realistic here -38.6% 20% -47.7%
15% -44.6% 13% -52.8%
20% -50.0% 9% -57.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.95 · official $4.95 (match) · 3500 history records