Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:50:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F1
0xf1af…1d52
sports · 9 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$4
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses5 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)8 / 9
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day24.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit56%
Chart Positions 1 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $4 +$2 +44%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $5 +$2 +47%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $5 $0 -2%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -83%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $8 +$1 +9%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 +$3 +54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 57% +$2
other 43% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 98¢ $6 10m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 73¢ $2 24m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 60¢ $2 30m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 60¢ $2 55m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 24¢ $1 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 31¢ $2 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL Gen.G 67¢ $2 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 61¢ $2 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 99¢ $7 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 79¢ $2 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 57¢ $2 2h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $5 2h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $5 2h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 2h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $5 3h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 3h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL Yes 6¢ $0 3h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $1 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $3 5h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 100¢ $8 5h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 90¢ $8 5h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 99¢ $8 5h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $2 7h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $3 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -3.0% -12.2% 62% 38% +0.3%
≤30d 8 -3.0% -12.2% 62% 38% +0.3%
≤90d 8 -3.0% -12.2% 62% 38% +0.3%
all 8 -3.0% -12.2% 62% 38% +0.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 38% +0.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 38% -9.3%
15% -28.3% 38% -18.1%
20% -35.3% 12% -26.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 24 history records