Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:33:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F1
0xf1c3…11d3
crypto · 957 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$38 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$38 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$56
Realized−$38
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses549 / 413
Open positions0
Markets (closed)962 / 957
Avg bet$5
Trades / day21.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 962 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$66
7 days+$58
14 days+$86
30 days+$122
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 36¢ 100¢ $8 $22 +$14 (+180%)
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 30¢ 100¢ $5 $17 +$12 (+233%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+92%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$29 +361%
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$23 +467%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$6 +185%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$6 +185%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$6 +185%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$3 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$3 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$3 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$4 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$4 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$3 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$3 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 08 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 08 $4 −$4 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$3 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 08 $4 −$4 -93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$107
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $2 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $2 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $0 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $3 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 109 +10.2% -0.3% 68% 68% +0.8%
≤30d 324 +8.2% -2.1% 72% 71% -2.3%
≤90d 962 -3.2% -12.4% 57% 49% -10.0%
all 962 -3.2% -12.4% 57% 49% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 49% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 38% -18.6%
15% -28.5% 24% -26.5%
20% -35.5% 17% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $56.41 · official $56.41 (match) · 3500 history records