Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:35:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F1
0xf1de…b2dc
crypto · 1021 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$373 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$541 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized+$541
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses295 / 498
Open positions2
Markets (closed)793 / 1021
History coverage19d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day166.0
Drawdown62%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 793 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$724
7 days−$679
14 days−$254
30 days+$541
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 33¢ 100¢ $5 $15 +$10 (+198%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$1,382
weather 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 50m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)+10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 334 -34.8% -41.0% 22% 22% -60.4%
≤30d 793 +22.5% +10.8% 37% 37% +6.3%
≤90d 793 +22.5% +10.8% 37% 37% +6.3%
all 793 +22.5% +10.8% 37% 37% +6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover166.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +10.8% 37% +6.3%
10% ← realistic here +0.2% 37% -3.9%
15% -9.5% 37% -13.2%
20% -18.4% 37% -21.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.90 · official $14.45 (match) · 3500 history records