Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:35:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F1
0xf1ed…ab5f
crypto · 147 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$78 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$78 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$78
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses84 / 63
Open positions0
Markets (closed)147 / 147
Avg bet$14
Trades / day8.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 147 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20
7 days+$20
14 days+$20
30 days−$78
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$78
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-4.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 113 +9.1% -1.3% 49% 46% -2.4%
≤30d 147 +6.1% -4.0% 57% 41% -12.9%
≤90d 147 +6.1% -4.0% 57% 41% -12.9%
all 147 +6.1% -4.0% 57% 41% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.0% 41% -12.9%
10% -13.2% 31% -21.2%
15% -21.6% 29% -28.8%
20% -29.3% 26% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 269 history records