Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:54:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F1
0xf1ee…519c
sports · 352 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$15,973 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15,198 · open −$733
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$2,031
Realized−$15,198
Unrealized−$733
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses176 / 309
Whale WR (big bets)59%
Est. fees paid−$1,231
Open positions18
Markets (closed)485 / 352
Avg bet$289
Trades / day530.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 18 History 485 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14,302
7 days−$15,198
14 days−$15,198
30 days−$15,198
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 84¢ 93¢ $1,416 $1,564 +$148 (+10%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Monte 50¢ 24¢ $353 $168 −$185 (-52%)
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group B DXA Esports 96¢ 100¢ $93 $96 +$3 (+4%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner GenOne 52¢ 52¢ $85 $83 −$1 (-2%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 49¢ 4¢ $457 $42 −$414 (-91%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D GenOne 73¢ 72¢ $22 $22 −$0 (-1%)
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D Virtus.pro 25¢ 28¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+10%)
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-12%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 40¢ 40¢ $8 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner GenOne 90¢ 100¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+11%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage G2 Ares 34¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 43¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner G2 Ares 54¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 23¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner B8 32¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner FURIA 27¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 43¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 2 Winner DXA Esports 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 40¢ 0¢ $280 $0 −$280 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage RUSTEC 34¢ 0¢ $480 $0 −$480 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner Deep Cross Gaming 31¢ 0¢ $246 $0 −$246 (-100%)
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner MVK Esports 35¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage NRG Academy 51¢ 0¢ $1,369 $0 −$1,369 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner BetBoom Team 55¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 12 $280 −$174 -62%
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage Jun 12 $1,369 −$1,379 -101%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $95 −$96 -101%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $38 −$36 -94%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $177 −$167 -95%
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? Jun 12 $85 −$109 -127%
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $85 −$100 -117%
Counter-Strike: Banger Gang vs ZOTIX (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Play Jun 12 $165 −$165 -100%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +157%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $8 −$9 -124%
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Jun 12 $462 −$487 -106%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Will Benin win on 2026-06-05? Jun 12 $1 −$6 -597%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $105 −$105 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $196 −$196 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 12 $24 −$21 -90%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ALGO Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $125 −$145 -115%
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs largadosypelados - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $8 −$35 -420%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 12 $219 −$121 -55%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-02? Jun 12 $32 +$18 +56%
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Ursa - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $144 −$144 -100%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Sta Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1,329 −$905 -68%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $1,046 −$992 -95%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $18 −$10 -59%
CSKA Moscow vs. Unics Kazan Jun 12 $28 −$27 -98%
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$2 -115%
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs OG - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Centurion 2: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Khololwam Montsi Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $16 −$6 -35%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs Jun 12 $35 −$23 -65%
Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs Clutchain (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe P Jun 12 $43 −$46 -108%
Heilbronn: Henri Squire vs Pedro Martinez Jun 12 $264 −$257 -97%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Uwinks vs New Meta (BO3) - LJL Regular Season Jun 12 $293 −$299 -102%
LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Japan vs. Iceland end in a draw? Jun 12 $7 −$9 -128%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $22 +$40 +182%
Saski Baskonia vs. Joventut Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Pla Jun 12 $33 +$196 +599%
Counter-Strike: CHAOS vs MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Group D Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Entropy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: S Jun 12 $1,643 −$1,648 -100%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $17 +$35 +202%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$75
other 1% −$123
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY GenOne 51¢ $7 2m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 40¢ $9 2m
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY Virtus.pro 25¢ $10 4m
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY GenOne 53¢ $54 7m
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie BUY GenOne 73¢ $22 8m
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY GenOne 52¢ $16 8m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 92¢ $111 12m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 92¢ $138 13m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 90¢ $13 15m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 90¢ $55 15m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 88¢ $35 15m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 90¢ $45 15m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 90¢ $86 15m
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 BUY DXA Esports 89¢ $36 17m
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 BUY DXA Esports 98¢ $147 17m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 56¢ $10 18m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 56¢ $6 18m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 54¢ $5 18m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 56¢ $14 18m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 51¢ $12 18m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 51¢ $3 18m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 51¢ $5 18m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 56¢ $57 18m
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY GenOne 50¢ $9 18m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 48¢ $49 19m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 47¢ $48 19m
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G SELL MARKandLARRY 100¢ $40 19m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 56¢ $57 20m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 46¢ $28 20m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 46¢ $9 20m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-5.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 485 +4.3% -5.6% 36% 33% -23.9%
≤30d 485 +4.3% -5.6% 36% 33% -23.9%
≤90d 485 +4.3% -5.6% 36% 33% -23.9%
all 485 +4.3% -5.6% 36% 33% -23.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover530.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.6% 33% -23.9%
10% ← realistic here -14.7% 28% -31.2%
15% -22.9% 21% -37.8%
20% -30.5% 16% -43.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,031.36 · official $2,031.37 (match) · 3500 history records