Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:03:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F1
0xf1f2…22a4
other · 75 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$74 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$67 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized−$67
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses40 / 34
Whale WR (big bets)85%
Est. fees paid−$75
Open positions1
Markets (closed)74 / 75
History coverage52d
Avg bet$216
Trades / day7.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit49%
Chart Positions 1 History 74 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$161
7 days+$292
14 days−$66
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Yes 18¢ 13¢ $25 $18 −$7 (-28%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $126 $0 −$126 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jakub Mensik 4¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Maja Chwalinska 6¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider Aryna Sabalenka 63¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $599 +$167 +28%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $129 −$126 -98%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $50 −$47 -93%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $15 −$14 -96%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $97 +$103 +106%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $404 +$84 +21%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -90%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $526 +$48 +9%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 10 $138 +$87 +63%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $562 +$22 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $50 −$36 -72%
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June Jun 09 $535 +$6 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $392 +$47 +12%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $62 −$6 -10%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $1,077 −$38 -4%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $11 −$11 -97%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $372 +$31 +8%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $24 −$14 -59%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 04 $53 −$51 -96%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 03 $401 +$31 +8%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 03 $463 +$39 +8%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider Jun 03 $496 −$86 -17%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $201 −$17 -9%
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 03 $442 +$68 +15%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $664 +$53 +8%
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Nouza/Oberleitner vs Bolelli/Vavassori Jun 02 $201 −$39 -19%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 02 $171 +$6 +3%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 02 $590 +$34 +6%
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea Jun 02 $321 +$42 +13%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 01 $963 −$340 -35%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka Jun 01 $600 +$5 +1%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 01 $501 +$53 +11%
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 01 $28 +$3 +12%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Jun 01 $443 +$5 +1%
Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublik Jun 01 $21 −$10 -47%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026? Jun 01 $71 −$47 -66%
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarro Jun 01 $64 −$64 -100%
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Ugo Humbert Jun 01 $199 −$38 -19%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026? Jun 01 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 01 $597 +$5 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 01 $31 −$15 -48%
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider Jun 01 $557 +$39 +7%
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya Jun 01 $705 +$42 +6%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda Jun 01 $419 +$16 +4%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Juan Carlos Prado May 21 $133 +$10 +7%
Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe May 20 $20 +$1 +6%
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic May 20 $50 $0 -1%
Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Tien May 20 $96 +$2 +2%
Geneva Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Raphael Collignon May 19 $50 +$3 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 64% −$375
other 33% +$323
politics 3% +$6
world 0% −$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 18¢ $5 1h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 18¢ $21 1h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 97¢ $195 5h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 14¢ $3 5h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 39¢ $41 5h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 71¢ $14 6h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 77¢ $71 6h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 21¢ $10 6h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 12¢ $9 8h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 10¢ $10 9h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 10¢ $14 9h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $21 10h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $26 10h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 11¢ $26 11h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 7¢ $13 20h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 11¢ $24 20h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL No 97¢ $514 27h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $501 28h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 29h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $4 29h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 29h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 64¢ $81 29h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 92¢ $118 29h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL No 100¢ $487 30h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 32h
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 34h
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 45h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $15 45h
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $3 45h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 21¢ $10 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-24.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -21.7% -29.1% 50% 31% -3.6%
≤30d 57 -17.5% -25.4% 61% 18% -9.0%
≤90d 74 -16.4% -24.4% 54% 19% -9.4%
all 74 -16.4% -24.4% 54% 19% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.4% 19% -9.4%
10% -31.6% 9% -18.0%
15% -38.2% 8% -25.9%
20% -44.3% 8% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.06 · official $18.06 (match) · 404 history records