Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T23:59:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6.0
score
F1 0xf1f4…59ea sports 788 markets active 1h ago coverage 119d
COPY-WORTHYcopy this sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
! high turnover
Total PnL +$5,094 (+56%) realized +$5,094 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt +195% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +127% what you keep after slip
Net edge+127%after slip
Net WR59%break-even
Win rate62%491W / 297L
Drawdown1%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day24.3pace
Fees−$243est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$259
7 days+$461
14 days+$645
30 days+$1,279
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 99% +$5,031
other 1% +$106
world 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)+167.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 +225.0% +194.0% 72% 68% +125.6%
≤30d 178 +232.8% +201.1% 66% 63% +81.3%
≤90d 561 +193.0% +165.1% 61% 59% +47.1%
all 788 +195.3% +167.2% 62% 59% +39.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover24.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +167.2% 59% +39.7%
10% ← realistic here +141.6% 54% +26.3%
15% +118.3% 50% +14.1%
20% +96.9% 44% +2.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +66% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +195% · $-wt +56% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +190% → late +200% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$12 vs −$3 · ×4.51 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×8.61 per $1 lost it wins $8.61
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

119d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$5,094
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses491 / 297
Est. fees paid−$243
Open positions0
Markets (closed)788 / 788
History coverage119d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day24.3
Drawdown1%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 788 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: DFX Peek vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Séri Jun 26 $5 +$69 +1370%
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - Gamers Club Li Jun 26 $5 +$20 +400%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe (BO5) - Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE Pl Jun 26 $5 +$8 +169%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26? Jun 26 $3 +$6 +197%
Valorant: Team Solid vs TBK Esports (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Play-In Jun 26 $14 +$92 +636%
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? Jun 26 $10 +$20 +199%
Call of Duty: Carolina Royal Ravens vs Miami Heretics (BO5) - Call of Jun 26 $6 +$1 +23%
Call of Duty: Boston Breach vs Vancouver Surge (BO5) - Call of Duty Le Jun 26 $0 +$3 +1598%
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs ReThink (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Play Jun 26 $8 +$3 +33%
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? Jun 26 $1 $0 +36%
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? Jun 25 $1 +$3 +385%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25? Jun 25 $3 +$3 +100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? Jun 25 $3 +$18 +600%
Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs Subtop De France (BO3) - European Pro Lea Jun 25 $5 +$10 +192%
Valorant: KRÜ Blaze vs Leviatán Academy (BO3) - VCL Latin America Sout Jun 25 $0 $0 -100%
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw? Jun 25 $3 +$5 +162%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? Jun 25 $0 +$1 +191%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? Jun 24 $10 −$1 -10%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? Jun 24 $12 +$13 +113%
Valorant: QoR vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Jun 24 $26 −$10 -40%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? Jun 24 $13 −$3 -23%
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North Jun 24 $1 $0 +40%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw? Jun 24 $5 +$2 +46%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? Jun 24 $10 −$1 -10%
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Mandatory (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group A Jun 24 $6 +$8 +137%
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs venom (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Group Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23? Jun 24 $10 −$8 -84%
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23? Jun 24 $2 +$2 +119%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? Jun 24 $10 +$55 +551%
Valorant: la Masia vs INTZ (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Play-In Jun 23 $6 +$44 +784%
Valorant: FOKUS vs MIR (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group C Jun 23 $3 +$1 +31%
Counter-Strike: DFX Peek vs Alzon (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Jun Jun 23 $2 +$15 +817%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? Jun 23 $5 +$7 +131%
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? Jun 23 $3 +$9 +291%
Dota 2: THE VISION vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Clo Jun 23 $0 +$11 +2101%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? Jun 23 $10 +$10 +99%
Valorant: Elevate vs F4TALITY (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Play-In Jun 22 $10 +$40 +400%
Counter-Strike: ENERGYULTRA vs ReThink (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Group Jun 22 $9 +$3 +33%
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs Pixel Lumina (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Jun 22 $5 +$1 +12%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? Jun 22 $10 −$1 -10%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? Jun 21 $10 +$6 +65%
Overwatch: Team Liquid vs LuneX Gaming (BO3) - OCS North America Stage Jun 21 $2 +$6 +291%
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Overwatch: Twisted Minds vs 1234 (BO3) - OCS EMEA Stage 2 Group Stage Jun 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? Jun 21 $7 +$5 +71%
Overwatch: Geekay Esports vs 1234 (BO3) - OCS EMEA Stage 2 Group Stage Jun 21 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? Jun 21 $1 +$5 +500%
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Close Jun 21 $10 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: DFX Peek vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Séri SELL MIBR Academy 74¢ $37 1h
Counter-Strike: DFX Peek vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Séri SELL MIBR Academy 74¢ $37 1h
Counter-Strike: DFX Peek vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Séri BUY MIBR Academy $5 1h
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - Gamers Club Li SELL QUINTESSÊNCIA 25¢ $6 2h
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - Gamers Club Li SELL QUINTESSÊNCIA 25¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - Gamers Club Li SELL QUINTESSÊNCIA 25¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - Gamers Club Li SELL QUINTESSÊNCIA 25¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - Gamers Club Li SELL QUINTESSÊNCIA 25¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - Gamers Club Li SELL QUINTESSÊNCIA 25¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - Gamers Club Li SELL QUINTESSÊNCIA 25¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - Gamers Club Li SELL QUINTESSÊNCIA 25¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - Gamers Club Li SELL QUINTESSÊNCIA 25¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - Gamers Club Li BUY QUINTESSÊNCIA $1 2h
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - Gamers Club Li BUY QUINTESSÊNCIA $1 2h
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - Gamers Club Li BUY QUINTESSÊNCIA $1 2h
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - Gamers Club Li BUY QUINTESSÊNCIA $1 2h
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - Gamers Club Li BUY QUINTESSÊNCIA $1 2h
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - Gamers Club Li BUY QUINTESSÊNCIA $1 2h
Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe (BO5) - Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE Pl SELL shimmer 30¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe (BO5) - Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE Pl SELL shimmer 30¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe (BO5) - Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE Pl SELL shimmer 25¢ $7 2h
Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe (BO5) - Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE Pl BUY shimmer 10¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe (BO5) - Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE Pl BUY shimmer 10¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe (BO5) - Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE Pl BUY shimmer 10¢ $2 2h
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? BUY No $1 3h
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? BUY No $0 3h
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? BUY No $0 3h
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? BUY No $0 3h
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? BUY No $0 3h
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? BUY No $0 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3184 history records