Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:05:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F1
0xf1f7…927e
crypto · 756 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$136 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$184 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$184
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses364 / 392
Open positions0
Markets (closed)756 / 756
History coverage56d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day41.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 756 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$44
7 days−$44
14 days−$44
30 days−$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$7 -64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$3 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$5 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$2 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$3 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$6 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$16 +144%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$6 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$9 -78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$5 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$4 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$2 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$3 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$2 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$4 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$3 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$28 +240%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$5 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$6 -54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -87%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$2 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$13 -56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$7 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$184
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $0 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $0 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $12 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $10 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $11 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $13 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $11 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $12 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $9 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 51 -9.4% -18.0% 27% 16% -16.6%
≤30d 51 -9.4% -18.0% 27% 16% -16.6%
≤90d 756 -1.9% -11.3% 48% 31% -12.1%
all 756 -1.9% -11.3% 48% 31% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 31% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 19% -20.5%
15% -27.5% 9% -28.2%
20% -34.6% 4% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2359 history records