Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:44:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F1
0xf1fa…606d
crypto · 3 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1 -30%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 13 $1 $0 -22%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 13 $1 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -91%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-53.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -48.2% -53.2% 0% 0% -51.7%
≤30d 3 -48.2% -53.2% 0% 0% -51.7%
≤90d 3 -48.2% -53.2% 0% 0% -51.7%
all 3 -48.2% -53.2% 0% 0% -51.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -53.2% 0% -51.7%
10% -57.6% 0% -56.3%
15% -61.7% 0% -60.6%
20% -65.5% 0% -64.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 5 history records