Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:39:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf20b…e27d
sports · 808 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$5,450 +16%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,355 · open +$80
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,594
Realized+$5,355
Unrealized+$80
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses409 / 356
Est. fees paid−$480
Open positions43
Markets (closed)765 / 808
History coverage28d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day50.2
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 43 History 765 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,293
7 days+$3,813
14 days+$4,748
30 days+$5,355
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 62¢ 68¢ $186 $206 +$20 (+11%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 62¢ 68¢ $186 $206 +$20 (+10%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) KT Rolster 44¢ 50¢ $131 $151 +$21 (+16%)
Game Handicap: Noir (-1.5) vs Nande+4 (+1.5) Nande+4 43¢ 75¢ $86 $150 +$64 (+74%)
Dota 2: Nande+4 vs Noir Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Group B Nande+4 38¢ 50¢ $100 $133 +$33 (+33%)
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) Eintracht Spandau 48¢ 42¢ $144 $128 −$16 (-11%)
Game Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Noir Esports (+1.5) Noir Esports 29¢ 42¢ $58 $85 +$27 (+47%)
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs Inner Circle 56¢ 35¢ $121 $75 −$45 (-38%)
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs XCLAN (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B XCLAN 21¢ 23¢ $63 $69 +$6 (+10%)
Counter-Strike: Minkens finest vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B Minkens finest 16¢ 18¢ $48 $54 +$6 (+12%)
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Saab (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A Saab 20¢ 18¢ $60 $52 −$8 (-12%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage SPARTA 49¢ 48¢ $49 $48 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Bilibili Gaming 71¢ 81¢ $37 $42 +$5 (+14%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 35¢ 100¢ $13 $37 +$24 (+186%)
Game Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Ilbirs eSports (+1.5) Ilbirs eSports 17¢ 27¢ $14 $22 +$8 (+59%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Over 13¢ 16¢ $14 $17 +$3 (+23%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Rock LFO vs Man eSports LFO (BO1) - Asia Pacific League Oceania - Stage 1 Group Stage Rock LFO 35¢ 23¢ $27 $17 −$10 (-35%)
Game Handicap: Nande+4 (-1.5) vs Noir Esports (+1.5) Noir Esports 55¢ 80¢ $11 $16 +$5 (+45%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Aurora Gaming 28¢ 38¢ $8 $11 +$3 (+37%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Rebels Gaming vs Twisted Minds (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Group Stage Rebels Gaming 21¢ 24¢ $8 $10 +$1 (+14%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 36¢ 100¢ $3 $8 +$5 (+178%)
Dota 2: Sadboys vs Selva Esports - Game 2 Winner Selva Esports 57¢ 78¢ $6 $8 +$2 (+35%)
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs Minkens finest (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B Gatorian 50¢ 76¢ $5 $7 +$3 (+53%)
Dota 2: Sadboys vs Selva Esports (BO3) - The International South America Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs Selva Esports 58¢ 72¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+23%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Black Dragons e-Sports vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - South America League Stage 1 Group Stage Fluxo W7M 49¢ 48¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 $0 +11%
Rainbow Six Siege: Titan Esports Club vs One Coin - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
First Blood in Game 4? Jun 12 $2 +$4 +212%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $302 +$714 +236%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $60 +$72 +119%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage Jun 12 $60 +$23 +39%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $122 −$122 -100%
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage Jun 12 $5 +$4 +84%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $0 $0 +67%
Rainbow Six Siege: Five Fears vs Shopify Rebellion (BO1) - North Ameri Jun 11 $5 +$15 +318%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $118 +$169 +144%
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) Jun 11 $148 +$352 +238%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BIG (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage Jun 11 $181 −$1 -0%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $24 +$26 +113%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) - MPL Ind Jun 11 $61 +$23 +37%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $41 +$59 +144%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win Jun 11 $4 +$3 +82%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win Jun 11 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $18 −$18 -100%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage Jun 11 $72 +$78 +108%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Grou Jun 11 $11 +$20 +178%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $267 +$33 +12%
Rainbow Six Siege: Team Orchid vs HL tauri Esports (BO1) - Asia Pacifi Jun 11 $1 $0 +79%
Dota 2: Phenomenon vs NA Last Hope (BO3) - The International North Ame Jun 11 $4 +$9 +246%
Dota 2: Ignite vs Ttgame (BO3) - The International North America Open Jun 11 $21 −$21 -100%
Dota 2: Phenomenon vs NA Last Hope - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $102 −$102 -100%
Dota 2: Ignite vs Ttgame - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $156 −$156 -100%
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) Jun 10 $1 +$1 +117%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 10 $344 +$143 +42%
Game Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs HMBLE (+1.5) Jun 10 $237 −$237 -100%
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 10 $4 +$4 +89%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $6 +$2 +39%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $17 −$17 -100%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs EVOS (BO5) - MPL Ind Jun 10 $25 +$39 +156%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $19 +$50 +257%
Game Handicap: EVOS (-1.5) vs Bigetron by Vitality (+1.5) Jun 10 $57 +$43 +76%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $63 +$63 +100%
Game Handicap: BTR (-2.5) vs EVOS (+2.5) Jun 10 $94 +$92 +97%
Game Handicap: BTR (-1.5) vs EVOS (+1.5) Jun 10 $93 −$93 -100%
Game Handicap: EVOS (-2.5) vs Bigetron by Vitality (+2.5) Jun 10 $123 +$77 +62%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $151 −$151 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% +$5,666
other 5% −$232
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Minkens finest vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B BUY Minkens finest 16¢ $48 13m
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Saab (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A BUY Saab 20¢ $60 17m
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs XCLAN (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B BUY XCLAN 21¢ $63 18m
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 13¢ $1 59m
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs Minkens finest (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B BUY Gatorian 50¢ $5 1h
Rainbow Six Siege: Black Dragons e-Sports vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - South A BUY Fluxo W7M 49¢ $5 1h
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite (BO3) - The International North America Ope BUY Ignite 61¢ $3 1h
Rainbow Six Siege: Rebels Gaming vs Twisted Minds (BO1) - Europe MENA BUY Rebels Gaming 21¢ $4 1h
Rainbow Six Siege: Rebels Gaming vs Twisted Minds (BO1) - Europe MENA BUY Rebels Gaming 21¢ $4 1h
Rainbow Six Siege: Rebels Gaming vs Twisted Minds (BO1) - Europe MENA BUY Rebels Gaming 21¢ $1 1h
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite - Game 1 Winner BUY Ignite 58¢ $3 1h
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite - Game 2 Winner BUY Ignite 58¢ $3 1h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 13¢ $13 2h
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Nemiga Gaming 18¢ $0 2h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC - Game 1 Winner BUY Geek Fam ID 21¢ $1 3h
Game Handicap: ONIC (-1.5) vs Geek Fam ID (+1.5) BUY Geek Fam ID 31¢ $43 3h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC - Game 1 Winner BUY ONIC 56¢ $1 3h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Pl BUY Geek Fam ID 15¢ $8 4h
Dota 2: Sadboys vs Selva Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY Selva Esports 57¢ $3 4h
Dota 2: Sadboys vs Selva Esports (BO3) - The International South Ameri BUY Selva Esports 58¢ $3 4h
Dota 2: Sadboys vs Selva Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY Selva Esports 57¢ $3 4h
Dota 2: Sadboys vs Selva Esports (BO3) - The International South Ameri BUY Selva Esports 58¢ $3 4h
Dota 2: Sadboys vs Selva Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY Selva Esports 58¢ $3 4h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Pl BUY Geek Fam ID 15¢ $2 4h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 62¢ $188 5h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 62¢ $183 5h
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) BUY Eintracht Spandau 48¢ $144 5h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day - Game 1 Winner BUY Seize the day 8¢ $1 6h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day - Game 1 Winner BUY Seize the day 8¢ $1 6h
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Seize the day - Game 1 Winner BUY Seize the day 8¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)+48.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 161 +44.1% +30.4% 57% 56% +31.6%
≤30d 765 +63.6% +48.0% 53% 53% +5.6%
≤90d 765 +63.6% +48.0% 53% 53% +5.6%
all 765 +63.6% +48.0% 53% 53% +5.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover50.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +48.0% 53% +5.6%
10% ← realistic here +33.8% 51% -4.5%
15% +20.9% 47% -13.7%
20% +9.1% 42% -22.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,594.00 · official $1,594.00 (match) · 2277 history records