Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:59:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf21b…7a51
crypto · 758 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$854 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,126 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,126
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses324 / 434
Open positions0
Markets (closed)758 / 758
History coverage14d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day111.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 758 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$488
7 days−$432
14 days−$1,199
30 days−$1,126
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $23 +$5 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$4 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$7 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$7 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$4 -57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$6 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$4 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $13 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$4 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $29 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $17 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$9 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$3 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$6 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$2 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$2 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$2 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$4 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$7 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$5 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$2 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$3 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$7 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $14 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$3 -54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$626
world 14% −$500
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $5 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $7 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 597 -6.4% -15.3% 43% 40% -15.1%
≤30d 758 -7.1% -15.9% 43% 41% -18.6%
≤90d 758 -7.1% -15.9% 43% 41% -18.6%
all 758 -7.1% -15.9% 43% 41% -18.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover111.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.9% 41% -18.6%
10% ← realistic here -24.0% 39% -26.4%
15% -31.3% 38% -33.5%
20% -38.0% 36% -40.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1961 history records