trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$6 | +57% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 14 | $36 | +$38 | +107% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$16 | +165% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 11 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Jun 07 | $20 | +$48 | +246% |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 29 | $20 | +$6 | +29% |
| Will Sergei Pavlovich win by KO or TKO? | May 28 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | May 28 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 28 | $20 | −$19 | -98% |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 28 | $10 | +$23 | +237% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +62.5% | +47.1% | 67% | 67% | +76.1% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +47.0% | +33.0% | 55% | 55% | +45.0% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +47.0% | +33.0% | 55% | 55% | +45.0% |
| all | 11 | +47.0% | +33.0% | 55% | 55% | +45.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +33.0% | 55% | +45.0% |
| 10% | +20.3% | 55% | +31.2% |
| 15% | +8.6% | 55% | +18.5% |
| 20% | -2.0% | 55% | +6.9% |