Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:25:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf247…5216
crypto · 42 markets active 3d ago
0.0score
+$974 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$977 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized+$977
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses21 / 26
Whale WR (big bets)58%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)47 / 42
History coverage4d
Avg bet$661
Trades / day964.7
Drawdown37%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 47 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$36
7 days+$977
14 days+$977
30 days+$977
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes 90¢ 86¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-5%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes 24¢ 1¢ $3 $0 −$2 (-94%)
XRP Up or Down - September 30, 7PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - September 30, 7PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$28 -10143%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? Jun 12 $0 +$2 +662%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET Jun 09 $508 +$37 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET Jun 09 $306 −$21 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7AM ET Jun 09 $480 +$13 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7AM ET Jun 09 $789 +$56 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2PM ET Jun 08 $60 +$35 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2PM ET Jun 08 $12 −$6 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET Jun 08 $538 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET Jun 08 $1,538 −$125 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET Jun 08 $1,053 +$47 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET Jun 08 $309 +$49 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11AM ET Jun 08 $728 −$47 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11AM ET Jun 08 $1,055 +$18 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10AM ET Jun 08 $266 −$29 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10AM ET Jun 08 $929 +$3 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8AM ET Jun 08 $582 −$4 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Jun 08 $806 −$26 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Jun 08 $2,512 −$76 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8AM ET Jun 08 $2,352 +$27 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7AM ET Jun 08 $804 −$44 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7AM ET Jun 08 $318 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6AM ET Jun 08 $1,101 −$47 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6AM ET Jun 08 $473 +$53 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 7AM ET Jun 06 $298 −$4 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7AM ET Jun 06 $896 −$96 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7AM ET Jun 06 $277 −$31 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6AM ET Jun 06 $910 −$60 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6AM ET Jun 06 $341 −$26 -8%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 6AM ET Jun 06 $202 −$13 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5AM ET Jun 06 $1,292 +$8 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5AM ET Jun 06 $311 −$11 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5AM ET Jun 06 $363 +$34 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 4AM ET Jun 06 $13 −$3 -24%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 4AM ET Jun 06 $17 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4AM ET Jun 06 $86 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9PM ET Jun 06 $840 −$49 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 9PM ET Jun 06 $302 −$9 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 8PM ET Jun 06 $340 +$16 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8PM ET Jun 06 $938 −$85 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7PM ET Jun 06 $1,027 +$84 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 7PM ET Jun 06 $156 +$17 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ET Jun 05 $198 +$326 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ET Jun 05 $1,438 +$992 +69%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,012
other 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $11 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $11 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $7 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $14 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $4 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-0.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 +9.8% -0.7% 45% 15% -6.3%
≤30d 47 +9.8% -0.7% 45% 15% -6.3%
≤90d 47 +9.8% -0.7% 45% 15% -6.3%
all 47 +9.8% -0.7% 45% 15% -6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover964.7 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.7% 15% -6.3%
10% -10.2% 9% -15.2%
15% ← realistic here -18.9% 9% -23.4%
20% -26.8% 9% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.43 · official $4.43 (match) · 3500 history records