Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:58:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf247…e269
crypto · 1556 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$764 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$762 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized−$762
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses809 / 744
Est. fees paid−$23
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1553 / 1556
History coverage108d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day21.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1553 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$150
7 days−$238
14 days−$148
30 days−$283
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 20¢ 18¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 52¢ 48¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Under 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$8 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$6 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meetin Jun 13 $25 −$13 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$10 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$6 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$6 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$13 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$785
sports 4% +$34
economics 0% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $8 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $8 17m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 20¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $7 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $8 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $8 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meetin SELL Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Down 8¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 206 -14.3% -22.5% 47% 47% -23.4%
≤30d 1389 -2.8% -12.0% 52% 52% -10.1%
≤90d 1389 -2.8% -12.0% 52% 52% -10.1%
all 1553 -2.7% -12.0% 52% 51% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.0% 51% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.4% 50% -20.3%
15% -28.1% 46% -28.0%
20% -35.1% 40% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.55 · official $12.77 · 3500 history records