trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -10.3% | -18.8% | 67% | 50% | -4.6% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +3.9% | -6.0% | 83% | 67% | -0.1% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +3.9% | -6.0% | 83% | 67% | -0.1% |
| all | 12 | +3.9% | -6.0% | 83% | 67% | -0.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.0% | 67% | -0.1% |
| 10% | -15.0% | 17% | -9.7% |
| 15% | -23.2% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 20% | -30.7% | 0% | -26.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | No | 26¢ | 24¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-7%) |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | No | 16¢ | 13¢ | $3 | $3 | −$1 (-19%) |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | No | 39¢ | 26¢ | $2 | $1 | −$1 (-35%) |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | No | 23¢ | 8¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-63%) |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? | Jun 14 | $34 | +$11 | +32% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | Jun 14 | $44 | −$10 | -23% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 13? | Jun 12 | $45 | +$1 | +1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 12? | Jun 11 | $41 | +$5 | +11% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 11 | $35 | +$6 | +16% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | Jun 05 | $28 | +$7 | +24% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? | Jun 01 | $24 | +$4 | +18% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | May 31 | $20 | +$4 | +22% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 30 | $16 | +$3 | +19% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 24 | $14 | +$3 | +19% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | May 24 | $13 | +$1 | +8% |