trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$3 | -67% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on April 7? | Apr 05 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on April 7? | Apr 05 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will Iran strike Turkey in March? | Mar 02 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | Feb 28 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Feb 03 | $1 | $0 | +42% |
| Gold (GC) Up or Down on February 2? | Feb 03 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Rese | Jan 30 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -67.3% | -70.4% | 0% | 0% | -70.4% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -67.3% | -70.4% | 0% | 0% | -70.4% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -89.1% | -90.1% | 0% | 0% | -78.6% |
| all | 8 | -78.2% | -80.3% | 12% | 12% | -84.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -80.3% | 12% | -84.6% |
| 10% | -82.1% | 12% | -86.1% |
| 15% | -83.9% | 12% | -87.4% |
| 20% | -85.5% | 0% | -88.6% |