Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:23:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf271…97f3
crypto · 218 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$335 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$330 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$330
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses70 / 149
Open positions2
Markets (closed)219 / 218
History coverage6d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day543.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 219 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$72
7 days−$330
14 days−$330
30 days−$330
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 53¢ 66¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+24%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$20 +161%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $34 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $41 −$11 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $23 −$4 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $30 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $27 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$6 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $18 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $22 −$8 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $22 −$7 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $30 −$4 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $20 −$10 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $28 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $22 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $30 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $33 −$8 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $34 −$4 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $28 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $25 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$327
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $0 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 45m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 219 -4.6% -13.7% 32% 9% -13.8%
≤30d 219 -4.6% -13.7% 32% 9% -13.8%
≤90d 219 -4.6% -13.7% 32% 9% -13.8%
all 219 -4.6% -13.7% 32% 9% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover543.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.7% 9% -13.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.9% 3% -22.0%
15% -29.5% 2% -29.5%
20% -36.4% 1% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.24 · official $1.22 (match) · 3500 history records