Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:26:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf275…8202
other · 3 markets active 6h ago
4.5score
+$14 +63%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized+$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses1 / 1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)2 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day4.0
Drawdown13%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 1 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$14
14 days+$14
30 days+$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 +$16 +156%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 91% +$16
crypto 9% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 99¢ $26 10h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $10 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +27.8% +15.6% 50% 50% +93.3%
≤30d 2 +27.8% +15.6% 50% 50% +93.3%
≤90d 2 +27.8% +15.6% 50% 50% +93.3%
all 2 +27.8% +15.6% 50% 50% +93.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +15.6% 50% +93.3%
10% +4.6% 50% +74.8%
15% -5.5% 50% +57.9%
20% -14.8% 50% +42.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.69 · official $9.69 (match) · 4 history records