trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +40.7% | +27.3% | 50% | 50% | +17.5% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +40.7% | +27.3% | 50% | 50% | +17.5% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 29% | 29% | -75.0% |
| all | 14 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 29% | 29% | -75.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.4% | 29% | -75.0% |
| 10% | -20.8% | 29% | -77.4% |
| 15% | -28.5% | 21% | -79.5% |
| 20% | -35.5% | 21% | -81.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 19¢ | 18¢ | $100 | $93 | −$7 (-7%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Jun 27 | $21 | +$63 | +308% |
| Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score | Jun 27 | $51 | +$36 | +70% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $82 | +$136 | +167% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $20 | −$10 | -50% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $40 | −$2 | -4% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $222 | +$75 | +34% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $81 | −$80 | -99% |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentar | Apr 11 | $2,727 | −$2,042 | -75% |
| Will Tisza win 70–79 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this | Apr 11 | $399 | −$399 | -100% |
| Will Tisza win 90–99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this | Apr 10 | $163 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Tisza win 80–89 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this | Apr 09 | $360 | −$360 | -100% |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in | Apr 02 | $1 | $0 | -21% |
| Will Tisza win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this el | Apr 01 | $150 | −$74 | -49% |