Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:20:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf28e…cab2
sports · 772 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$608,009 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$164,519 · open −$26,003
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$129,615
Realized+$164,519
Unrealized−$26,003
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses370 / 561
Whale WR (big bets)52%
Est. fees paid−$43,482
Open positions6
Markets (closed)931 / 772
History coverage97d
Avg bet$5,787
Trades / day31.3
Drawdown78%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 6 History 931 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$433,624
7 days−$540,844
14 days−$443,435
30 days−$156,177
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 76¢ 69¢ $91,496 $84,083 −$7,413 (-8%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 55¢ 30¢ $63,669 $35,220 −$28,449 (-45%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 Under 57¢ 86¢ $3,855 $5,809 +$1,955 (+51%)
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Knicks 52¢ 59¢ $1,741 $1,988 +$247 (+14%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Under 47¢ 100¢ $668 $1,412 +$744 (+111%)
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Knicks 59¢ 95¢ $600 $966 +$366 (+61%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Over 25¢ 3¢ $1,002 $136 −$866 (-86%)
Missouri State Bears vs. Florida International Golden Panthers: O/U 153.5 Over 51¢ 0¢ $495 $0 −$495 (-100%)
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) Trail Blazers 56¢ 0¢ $6,557 $0 −$6,557 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Cavaliers 73¢ 0¢ $3,665 $0 −$3,665 (-100%)
Nets vs. Nuggets Nets 34¢ 0¢ $391 $0 −$391 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5 Under 48¢ 0¢ $22,023 $0 −$22,023 (-100%)
Spread: Broncos (-13.5) Broncos 10¢ 0¢ $750 $0 −$750 (-100%)
Rangers vs. Devils: O/U 6.5 Under 38¢ 0¢ $5,256 $0 −$5,256 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Spurs 45¢ 0¢ $14,237 $0 −$14,237 (-100%)
Pelicans vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5 Under 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-1.5) Missouri Tigers 32¢ 0¢ $489 $0 −$489 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $13,465 $0 −$13,465 (-100%)
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 48.5 Over 40¢ 0¢ $7,717 $0 −$7,717 (-100%)
Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 34.5 Over 35¢ 0¢ $208 $0 −$208 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5 Under 44¢ 0¢ $13,318 $0 −$13,318 (-100%)
Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 50.5 Over 10¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5) Nuggets 51¢ 0¢ $2,005 $0 −$2,005 (-100%)
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-2.5) Vanderbilt Commodores 54¢ 0¢ $237 $0 −$237 (-100%)
Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5 No 40¢ 0¢ $244 $0 −$244 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Nets vs. Nuggets Jun 14 $391 −$391 -100%
Spread: Broncos (-13.5) Jun 14 $750 −$750 -100%
Rangers vs. Devils: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $5,256 −$5,256 -100%
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 48.5 Jun 14 $7,717 −$7,717 -100%
Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 34.5 Jun 14 $208 −$208 -100%
Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 50.5 Jun 14 $80 −$80 -100%
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5) Jun 14 $2,005 −$2,005 -100%
Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $244 −$244 -100%
Rockets vs. Thunder Jun 14 $14,500 −$14,500 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-15.5) Jun 14 $2,439 −$2,439 -100%
Spread: Manhattan Jaspers (-5.5) Jun 14 $5,986 −$5,986 -100%
Chicago State Cougars vs. LIU Sharks Jun 14 $314 −$314 -100%
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. East Texas A&M Lions: O/U 145.5 Jun 14 $954 −$954 -100%
Spread: Packers (-7.5) Jun 14 $800 −$800 -100%
Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Wagner Seahawks Jun 14 $1,435 −$1,435 -100%
Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 49.5 Jun 14 $2,312 −$2,312 -100%
Spurs vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5 Jun 14 $8,441 −$8,441 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons Jun 14 $8,925 −$8,925 -100%
Spread: Celtics (-13.5) Jun 14 $13,025 −$13,025 -100%
Ducks vs. Hurricanes Jun 14 $4,975 −$4,975 -100%
Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverines Jun 14 $5,033 −$5,033 -100%
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: O/U 138.5 Jun 14 $1,103 −$1,103 -100%
Knicks vs. Suns: O/U 227.5 Jun 14 $568 −$568 -100%
Nets vs. Pistons Jun 14 $2,013 −$2,013 -100%
Mavericks vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5 Jun 14 $598 −$598 -100%
Nets vs. Jazz Jun 14 $225 −$225 -100%
Lakers vs. Jazz Jun 14 $481 −$481 -100%
Alcorn State Braves vs. Texas Southern Tigers Jun 14 $9,744 −$9,744 -100%
James Madison Dukes vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Arizona Wildcats vs. Colorado Buffaloes Jun 14 $720 −$720 -100%
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lions Jun 14 $10,792 −$10,792 -100%
Spread: BYU Cougars (-16.5) Jun 14 $1,859 −$1,859 -100%
Lakers vs. Clippers Jun 14 $1,500 −$1,500 -100%
LIU Sharks vs. Wagner Seahawks: O/U 137.5 Jun 14 $3,010 −$3,010 -100%
Omaha Mavericks vs. Denver Pioneers: O/U 158.5 Jun 14 $312 −$312 -100%
Spread: Idaho State Bengals (-4.5) Jun 14 $740 −$740 -100%
Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $16,450 −$16,450 -100%
Browns vs. Bengals Jun 14 $738 −$738 -100%
1H Spread: Ravens (-2.5) Jun 14 $2,700 −$2,700 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-8.5) Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5 Jun 14 $3,545 −$3,545 -100%
Wright State Raiders vs. Milwaukee Panthers Jun 14 $2,381 −$2,381 -100%
Spread: Bills (-2.5) Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Capitals vs. Kraken Jun 14 $382 −$382 -100%
Nuggets vs. Kings Jun 14 $80 −$80 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-11.5) Jun 14 $983 −$983 -100%
Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 221.5 Jun 14 $903 −$903 -100%
Lakers vs. Nets: O/U 222.5 Jun 14 $331 −$331 -100%
UT Martin Skyhawks vs. Southern Illinois Salukis Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Mavericks vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5 Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% +$579,089
other 4% +$5,757
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 84¢ $1,670 1m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 81¢ $734 2m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 58¢ $1,085 3m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 57¢ $14,566 8m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 57¢ $285 8m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 57¢ $6,504 8m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 57¢ $27 8m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 57¢ $2 8m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 57¢ $4 9m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 57¢ $4 9m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 57¢ $32 9m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 57¢ $133 9m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 57¢ $26 9m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 57¢ $7 9m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 57¢ $64 9m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 57¢ $55 9m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 57¢ $13 9m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 57¢ $499 9m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 57¢ $21 9m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 57¢ $2,322 9m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 57¢ $13,256 9m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 57¢ $1,326 9m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 57¢ $27 9m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 57¢ $4 9m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 57¢ $11 9m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 57¢ $475 9m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 57¢ $7 9m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 57¢ $376 9m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 57¢ $1 9m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 57¢ $38 9m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-25.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 227 -77.0% -79.2% 11% 11% -69.2%
≤30d 387 -39.5% -45.3% 31% 28% -16.5%
≤90d 841 -20.1% -27.7% 39% 35% -6.4%
all 931 -17.5% -25.3% 40% 35% -6.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.3 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.3% 35% -6.4%
10% -32.5% 33% -15.3%
15% ← realistic here -39.0% 30% -23.5%
20% -45.0% 28% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $129,614.98 · official $129,627.08 (match) · 3500 history records