trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 31 | +97.4% | +78.6% | 42% | 42% | +25.2% |
| ≤30d | 31 | +97.4% | +78.6% | 42% | 42% | +25.2% |
| ≤90d | 31 | +97.4% | +78.6% | 42% | 42% | +25.2% |
| all | 31 | +97.4% | +78.6% | 42% | 42% | +25.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +78.6% | 42% | +25.2% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +61.5% | 42% | +13.2% |
| 15% | +45.9% | 42% | +2.3% |
| 20% | +31.6% | 42% | -7.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Brazil | 54¢ | 52¢ | $1,099 | $1,052 | −$47 (-4%) |
| Spread: Brazil (-3.5) | Brazil | 33¢ | 30¢ | $500 | $462 | −$38 (-8%) |
| Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Under | 59¢ | 55¢ | $500 | $462 | −$38 (-8%) |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $300 | $294 | −$6 (-2%) |
| Spread: Brazil (-4.5) | Brazil | 20¢ | 16¢ | $250 | $206 | −$44 (-18%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $150 | $151 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $150 | $149 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $150 | $148 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $150 | $145 | −$5 (-3%) |
| Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 1 Morocco? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $150 | $144 | −$6 (-4%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $150 | $141 | −$9 (-6%) |
| Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 0 Morocco? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $150 | $1 | −$149 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $133 | −$86 | -64% |
| Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 | Jun 19 | $197 | −$144 | -73% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? AND Will Scotland vs. | Jun 19 | $206 | −$206 | -100% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $747 | −$730 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $609 | +$641 | +105% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5 | Jun 19 | $817 | −$800 | -98% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score | Jun 19 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5 | Jun 19 | $205 | −$178 | -87% |
| Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5 | Jun 19 | $1,011 | +$602 | +60% |
| Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5 | Jun 18 | $203 | −$200 | -98% |
| Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $304 | −$300 | -99% |
| Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 18 | $133 | −$130 | -98% |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $101 | +$92 | +91% |
| Spread: Canada (-2.5) | Jun 18 | $158 | +$360 | +227% |
| Spread: Canada (-3.5) | Jun 18 | $41 | +$146 | +355% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $397 | +$657 | +165% |
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 AND Will Czechia vs. S | Jun 18 | $185 | +$1,984 | +1073% |
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 AND Will Czechia vs. S | Jun 18 | $154 | +$853 | +555% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $407 | −$400 | -98% |
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 AND Will South Africa | Jun 18 | $185 | −$185 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 1 South Africa? | Jun 18 | $103 | +$611 | +596% |
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 AND Will South Africa | Jun 18 | $154 | −$154 | -100% |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? | Jun 18 | $269 | −$264 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 1 South Africa? | Jun 18 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Spread: England (-1.5) AND Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Colo | Jun 18 | $31 | +$202 | +657% |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $302 | +$344 | +114% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $112 | −$110 | -98% |
| Harry Kane: 2+ goals | Jun 17 | $51 | +$282 | +549% |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $141 | +$277 | +197% |
| Jude Bellingham: 2+ goals | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Spread: England (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $103 | −$100 | -98% |